Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 37

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Reina Sofia (Salamanca)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Unionistas de Salamanca		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	1.42	3.6	7
	1.43	3.8	6.5
	1.63	3.55	5.4
	1.6	3.58	5.09
	1.61	3.56	5.38	Watch
	1.61	3.48	5.73
	1.63	3.55	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.98)	3.59 ↑ (2.95)	5.79 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Unionistas de Salamanca
58.7%

Draw
25.5%

Tarazona
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.4%

31.1%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.2%

31.7%

22.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Unionistas de Salamanca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Unionistas de Salamanca's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unionistas de Salamanca than the current prediction. (-11.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Unionistas de Salamanca that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarazona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Martinez I. (G) 26. Serrano M. 6. Rabadan D. 5. Baz I. 21. Verges E. 9. Moreno I. 20. Tur J. A. 14. Chuca 19. Arriba J. 7. Rastrojo J. 10. de la Nava C.	13. Ramirez Y. (G) 17. Lopez A. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 2. Camus S. 22. Llacer L. 11. Rivas L. 12. Cedeno E. 10. Mena P. 20. Aguero 21. Pradera M.
Substitutes
17. Garcia D. 18. Garcia P. 11. Gomez A. 31. Gomez J. 8. Martinez P. 24. Ortuno F. 28. Parra H. G. 22. Santamaria G. 13. Suarez Coronas Lastra M. (G)	14. Buyla J. 19. Fuentes A. 1. Fuoli D. (G) 3. Martinez Chechu 6. Mencia J. 23. Rico M. 8. Romero B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Cedeno E. 🟨,
45', Tur J. A. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', de la Nava C. ↓, Garcia D. ↑,
46', Arriba J. ↓, Martinez P. ↑,
60', 🟨,
63', Pradera M. ↓, Fuentes A. ↑,
63', Cedeno E. ↓, Rico M. ↑,
65', Rastrojo J. ↓, Santamaria G. ↑,
77', Rivas L. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
77', Llacer L. ↓, Martinez Chechu ↑,
80', Lopez A. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
89', Aguero 🟨,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 10).

Recent performances by Unionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tarazona is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Unionistas is the team to beat.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Unionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Unionistas de Salamanca
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Sestao	0:0 ✺
26.04.25	Real Sociedad B - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
18.04.25	Unionistas de Salamanca - Arenteiro	0:0 ✺
12.04.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WTLTL
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
10.05.25	Tarazona - Ourense CF	4:0 ✺
03.05.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tarazona - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tarazona - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0
24.02.24	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	0:0
21.10.23	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona	0:0
Spanish Tercera Division - Play Offs
10.06.18	Unionistas de Salamanca - Tarazona	2:0
03.06.18	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	4:3

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