Match Info

SPAIN: Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 20

Date: 19 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Campo Municipal de Urritxe (Amorebieta-Etxano)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Amorebieta		Tarazona

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.88	3.5
	2.05	2.95	3.4
	2.07	2.65	3.35
	2.11	2.99	3.58	Watch
	2.15	2.91	3.66
	2.07	2.65	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.51)	2.84 ↓ (2.91)	3.47 ↑ (2.59)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Amorebieta
42.8%

Draw
31.5%

Tarazona
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.3%

30.4%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

30.7%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Amorebieta's performance.

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tarazona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Amorebieta that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+8.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tarazona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Amorebieta - Tarazona Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marino U. (G) 20. Coto E. 5. Amelibia J. 22. Yuste A. 4. Kortazar M. 2. Carbonell A. 14. Ben Hamed N. 19. Bravo Fernandez M. 24. Perez E. 17. Munoz I. 9. Kaxe	1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 15. Rodriguez J. 5. Murria V. 17. Lopez A. 3. Martinez Chechu 7. Areso J. 23. Rico M. 12. Cedeno E. 21. Pradera M. 19. Fuentes A.
Substitutes
10. Berto 23. Calavera J. 13. Campos G. (G) 18. Coulibaly A. 21. Marin A. 7. Selma D. 8. Vicandi A.	18. Alvarez M. 14. Buyla J. 11. Martin J. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 8. Romero B. 4. Trilles M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
9', 1 - 0, Ben Hamed N. ⚽,
14', Cedeno E. 🟨,
21', 1 - 1, Fuentes A. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Camus S. 🟨,
65', Areso J. 🟨,
66', 1 - 2, Areso J. ⚽,
66', Yuste A. ↓, Coulibaly A. ↑,
66', Bravo Fernandez M. ↓, Vicandi A. ↑,
66', Kaxe ↓, Selma D. ↑,
70', Cedeno E. ↓, Buyla J. ↑,
70', Areso J. ↓, Romero B. ↑,
70', Rico M. ↓, Mena P. ↑,
77', Munoz I. ↓, Berto ↑,
77', Perez E. ↓, Marin A. ↑,
79', 2 - 2, Vicandi A. ⚽,
90', Pradera M. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 13).

Amorebieta is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Tarazona is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Amorebieta will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Amorebieta won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Amorebieta
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Osasuna B - Amorebieta	3:0 ✺
22.12.24	FC Andorra - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Amorebieta - Barakaldo	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Real Sociedad B - Amorebieta	2:0 ✺
30.11.24	Amorebieta - Sestao	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLTLW
- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.01.25	Tarazona - Unionistas de Salamanca	1:0 ✺
20.12.24	Ponferradina - Tarazona	2:0 ✺
14.12.24	Athletic Bilbao B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
08.12.24	Tarazona - Lugo	0:0 ✺
01.12.24	Osasuna B - Tarazona	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.10.24	Tarazona - Amorebieta	3:0

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