Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 36

Date: 10 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.1
	1.93	3	3.6
	2.11	3.1	3.5
	2.16	2.96	3.93
	2.09	3.06	3.54	Watch
	2.09	3.55	3.24
	2.11	3.1	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↓ (2.2)	3.17 ↑ (3.12)	3.49 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarazona
44.5%

Draw
29.1%

Ourense CF
26.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.6%

29.3%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.6%

30%

28.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+2%)

Tarazona - Ourense CF Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 15. Rodriguez J. 3. Martinez Chechu 19. Fuentes A. 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 20. Aguero 21. Pradera M.	1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 8. Ramos J. 6. Fidalgo A. (C) 10. Gil A. 22. Noriega J. 21. Raigal J. 7. Carbonell J.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 14. Buyla J. 22. Llacer L. 17. Lopez A. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 11. Rivas L. 8. Romero B.	2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 17. Prada R. 19. Rodriguez M. 20. Sanchez A. 12. Teijo E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Ramos J. 🟨,
32', Carmona F. 🟨,
42', 1 - 0, Camus S. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
51', 2 - 0, Trilles M. ⚽,
53', Carmona F. 🟨,
54', 🟨,
55', Gil A. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
55', Ramos J. ↓, Rodriguez M. ↑,
58', Trilles M. ↓, Lopez A. ↑,
64', Noriega J. ↓, Teijo E. ↑,
64', Raigal J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
70', Pradera M. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
70', Fuentes A. ↓, Rivas L. ↑,
70', Aguero ↓, Mena P. ↑,
75', Prado M. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
88', 3 - 0, Areso J. ⚽, Rivas L. (A),
89', 🟨,
89', Rico M. ↓, Mencia J. ↑,
90+6', 4 - 0, Rivas L. ⚽,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 8).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Tarazona could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Tarazona won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Real Unión de Irun - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Tarazona - Ponferradina	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tarazona - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	FC Andorra - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LWTWL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
03.05.25	Ourense CF - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 WTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
17.11.24	Ourense CF - Tarazona	3:2

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