Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 34

Date: 27 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Municipal de Tarazona (Tarazona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Tarazona		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	3	2.88	2.35
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.05	2.8	2.5
	3.39	2.73	2.66
	3.25	2.54	2.59
	3.29	2.57	2.57
	3.05	2.8	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.69)	2.73 ↓ (3.1)	2.5 ↓ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tarazona
29.3%

Draw
33.8%

Ponferradina
36.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.3%

29.7%

36%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

30.1%

35.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarazona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Ponferradina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarazona than the current prediction. (+5.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tarazona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-1.4%)

Tarazona - Ponferradina Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Fuoli D. (G) 17. Lopez A. 2. Camus S. 4. Trilles M. 5. Murria V. 3. Martinez Chechu 19. Fuentes A. 12. Cedeno E. 23. Rico M. 20. Aguero 11. Rivas L.	1. Prieto A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 2. Andujar D. 3. Novoa G. 18. Ramon A. 16. Lozano M. 22. Esquerdo V. 9. Cabanzon Y. 10. Valle B. (C) 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A.
Substitutes
18. Alvarez M. 7. Areso J. 14. Buyla J. 22. Llacer L. 10. Mena P. 6. Mencia J. 21. Pradera M. 13. Ramirez Y. (G) 8. Romero B.	25. Barredo P. (G) 21. Cortes J. 24. Doue M. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 5. Lancho J. 19. Lopez A. 11. Mula A. 4. Sibille K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', Rico M. 🟨,
20', 1 - 0, Aguero ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Aguero 🟨,
54', Valle B. ↓, Ferrer P. ↑,
66', Rivas L. ↓, Areso J. ↑,
70', Andujar D. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
70', Esquerdo V. ↓, Lancho J. ↑,
72', Aguero ↓, Mena P. ↑,
79', Bustos A. ↓, Mula A. ↑,
79', Costa A. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
86', Fuentes A. ↓, Alvarez M. ↑,
86', Rico M. ↓, Llacer L. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tarazona won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Tarazona won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SD Tarazona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Celta de Vigo B - Tarazona	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tarazona - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	FC Andorra - Tarazona	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Tarazona - Athletic Bilbao B	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Sestao - Tarazona	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TWLTW
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.04.25	Ponferradina - Osasuna B	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Zamora - Ponferradina	1:2 ✺
06.04.25	Ponferradina - Real Unión de Irun	3:1 ✺
30.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	5:1 ✺
23.03.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
20.12.24	Ponferradina - Tarazona	2:0
24.03.24	Tarazona - Ponferradina	2:0
25.11.23	Ponferradina - Tarazona	0:1

Upcoming Matches