Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 13

Date: 22 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Espiñedo (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	Footballclub, LaLiga+


	Arenteiro		Ourense CF

	1	X	2
	2.3	2.8	3.1
	2.28	2.92	3.2
	2.30	2.89	3.37	Watch
	2.3	2.84	3.2
	2.08	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	2.87 ↓ (2.89)	3.27 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arenteiro
40.4%

Draw
31.7%

Ourense CF
27.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.7%

31.7%

27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

31.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arenteiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Ourense CF has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arenteiro than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Arenteiro - Ourense CF Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Arenteiro (1.80) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Arenteiro (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Garcia D. (G) 22. Sanchez J. 4. Falcon E. 3. Lohr L. 21. Llacer L. 11. Cuellar J. 6. Val B. 8. Gonzalez D. 25. Bastida A. 7. Ferreiro D. 18. Mingo V.	1. Raton A. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 12. Jelbat A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Guerrero A. 24. Moreno C. 6. Castillo N. 8. Ramos J. 17. Ouhdadi O. 7. Bouzaig A.
Substitutes
19. Alpha M. 1. Alvin (G) 10. De Camargo W. 16. Guerrero J. 30. Iglesias F. 15. Moreno D. 2. Moya P. 12. Ochoa M. 5. Perez G. 14. Safrai	11. Aranzabe A. 10. Camus M. 2. Coto E. 19. Garcia D. 20. Gueye L. 16. Munoz D. 14. Perez A. 15. Piera J. 23. Punzano I. 13. Sanchez Vivas A. (G) 9. Vazquez K. 22. Yuste A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Moreno C. 🟨,
21', Carmona F. 🟨,
45+2', Val B. 🟨,
45+2', Bouzaig A. 🟨,
45+4', Castillo N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Moreno C. ↓, Yuste A. ↑,
50', 0 - 1, Castillo N. ⚽,
51', Prado M. 🟨,
56', Llacer L. 🟨,
57', Cuellar J. ↓, Guerrero J. ↑,
57', Val B. ↓, Ochoa M. ↑,
65', Guerrero A. ↓, Camus M. ↑,
65', Prado M. ↓, Coto E. ↑,
69', Gonzalez D. ↓, Moreno D. ↑,
75', Castillo N. ↓, Munoz D. ↑,
76', Ferreiro D. 🟨,
81', Moreno D. 🟨,
86', Llacer L. 🟥,
87', Bouzaig A. ↓, Aranzabe A. ↑,
88', Bastida A. ↓, Safrai ↑,
88', Munoz D. 🟨,
88', De Camargo W. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 2, Munoz D. ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 18 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 3.

Arenteiro has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ourense CF is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Arenteiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Ourense CF has had a series of home games.

Arenteiro will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Arenteiro won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:5. (average 1.1:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Arenteiro won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1:0.7).

Last Results with these Odds

Arenteiro - the odds 2.25 are the expected chance of winning is 40.66%, but this team recently wins 58% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Arenteiro
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Arenteiro	2:1 ✺
08.11.25	Arenteiro - Ferrol	0:2 ✺
02.11.25	Real Avilés - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
26.10.25	Arenteiro - Pontevedra	0:0 ✺
18.10.25	Mérida AD - Arenteiro	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLTL
- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
16.11.25	Ourense CF - CD Guadalajara	3:0 ✺
12.11.25	Zamora - Ourense CF	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa Federacion
08.11.25	Ourense CF - Orihuela	3:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
02.11.25	Ourense CF - Arenas Club de Getxo	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
28.10.25	Ourense CF - Real Oviedo	4:2 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.3 WTWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1
20.10.24	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.04.23	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	1:1
04.12.22	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
20.02.21	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:2
14.12.19	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	1:1
09.03.19	Ourense CF - Arenteiro	0:1

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