Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 35

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Couto (Ourense)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV, TVG 2


	Ourense CF		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	3	2.8	2.35
	3	2.8	2.3
	3.2	2.8	2.44
	3.52	2.75	2.58
	3.3	2.66	2.44	Watch
	3.03	3.08	2.34
	3.2	2.8	2.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.18 ↑ (2.87)	2.81 ↓ (3.07)	2.41 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ourense CF
29%

Draw
32.8%

Leonesa
38.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.1%

30%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

29.4%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ourense CF has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ourense CF than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Ourense CF - Leonesa Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ourense CF (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Marqueta R. (G) 5. Prado M. 4. Carmona F. 15. Zalaya A. 3. Sanz H. 21. Raigal J. 8. Ramos J. 22. Noriega J. 6. Fidalgo A. (C) 20. Sanchez A. 7. Carbonell J.	1. Banuz M. (G) 12. Ortega G. 5. Fornos Q. 15. Ruiz V. 17. Martinez A. 16. Maestre S. 6. Presa K. (C) 22. Pibe 8. Barri 10. Chacon L. 9. Justo M.
Substitutes
2. Andrada F. 18. Blesa Alex 9. Di Renzo G. 11. Gil A. 10. Gil A. 13. Guillen P. (G) 16. Juanma Bravo 17. Prada R. 19. Rodriguez M. 12. Teijo E. 23. Xesc Fullana	20. Alba T. 13. Amigo (G) 21. Artola J. 14. Bicho 7. Calderon C. 19. Escobar A. 2. Garcia V. 18. Lanchi 4. Rodri Suarez 28. Ruiz A. 11. Samanes S. 3. Satrustegui E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Carbonell J. ⚽,
25', Pibe 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
53', Barri 🟨,
58', Carmona F. 🟨,
63', Barri ↓, Escobar A. ↑,
63', Presa K. ↓, Bicho ↑,
65', Sanchez A. ↓, Gil A. ↑,
65', Carbonell J. ↓, Di Renzo G. ↑,
70', 🟨,
74', Ramos J. ↓, Xesc Fullana ↑,
79', Noriega J. ↓, Blesa Alex ↑,
80', Raigal J. ↓, Juanma Bravo ↑,
81', Maestre S. ↓, Alba T. ↑,
88', 🟨,
89', Alba T. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ourense CF won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ourense CF
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
27.04.25	Sestao - Ourense CF	2:2 ✺
20.04.25	Ourense CF - Athletic Bilbao B	1:2 ✺
13.04.25	Arenteiro - Ourense CF	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Ourense CF - Zamora	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Lugo - Ourense CF	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 TLTWW
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
26.04.25	Athletic Bilbao B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
20.04.25	Leonesa - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
12.04.25	Tarazona - Leonesa	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Leonesa - Arenteiro	1:0 ✺
29.03.25	Barcelona B - Leonesa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
12.10.24	Leonesa - Ourense CF	3:0

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