Match Info

Premier League - Second stage - Play Out - Round 28

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Ta'Qali National Stadium (Ta' Qali)

Referee: Johnson A. (Mlt)

Where to Watch on TV:


Malta	TVM Sport+


	Tarxien Rainbows		Mosta

	1	X	2
	2.48	3.15	2.52
	2.49	3.27	2.61
	2.48	3.39	2.57	Watch
	2.5	3	2.5
	2.56	3.33	2.56
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.47)	3.23 ↓ (3.5)	2.55 ↑ (2.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarxien Rainbows
36.3%

Draw
28.1%

Mosta
35.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.3%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4%

25%

38.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarxien Rainbows has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

Mosta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarxien Rainbows than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mosta than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
94. Spiteri M. (G) 20. Borg L. 10. Claudio Murici (C) 29. Donsu K. 11. Erico Junior 6. Kuku A. 9. Lokosa A. 33. Musulin M. 23. Nhayson 54. Panic P. 74. Vella A.	22. Udoh A. (G) 21. Agius 26. Emmanuel P. 10. Giancarlo 14. Joao Victor 41. Pedro Cacho 7. Portelli N. 74. Vassallo J. (C) 31. Willian 11. Zammit K. II 42. Zibo S.
Substitutes
22. Aguek M. 17. Bird N. 99. Bird T. 1. Cassar A. (G) 4. D'Alessandro M. 88. Gatt K. 77. Grima M. 18. Mizzi S. 70. Schmidt P. 7. Valverde A. 21. Vella K.	77. Brincat Z. 5. Cachia S. 20. Caruana R. 6. Costa G. 15. Eikwu-Ojo S. 33. Farrugia B. 99. Farrugia J. (G) 23. Kozic A. 13. Luke U. 29. Oderinde C. 94. Vassallo S.
Coaches
Scerri J.	Grech J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
33', 0 - 1, Emmanuel P. ⚽,
39', 0 - 2, Giancarlo ⚽,
45', Zibo S. 🟨,
45+2', 1 - 2, Nhayson ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', 2 - 2, Musulin M. ⚽,
54', Zibo S. ↓, Oderinde C. ↑,
54', Agius ↓, Cachia S. ↑,
65', Erico Junior 🟨,
69', Pedro Cacho ↓, Kozic A. ↑,
70', Erico Junior 🟨,
74', Panic P. 🟨,
77', Borg L. ↓, Grima M. ↑,
79', Portelli N. ↓, Brincat Z. ↑,
80', Giancarlo ↓, Eikwu-Ojo S. ↑,
82', Lokosa A. ↓, Aguek M. ↑,
82', Musulin M. ↓, Schmidt P. ↑,
88', 🟨,
88', Vella A. ↓, Mizzi S. ↑,
88', Claudio Murici ↓, Valverde A. ↑,
90+5', Udoh A. 🟨,
90+8', Grima M. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 1.

Tarxien has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mosta's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tarxien won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 15:32. (average 0.8:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tarxien won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 5:16. (average 0.5:1.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Mosta	5	3	1	1	7:5	2	10

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarxien Rainbows
Maltese Premier League
15.03.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Żabbar St. Patrick	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Valletta - Tarxien Rainbows	3:1 ✺
28.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Sliema Wanderers	1:1 ✺
21.02.26	Tarxien Rainbows - Naxxar Lions	1:2 ✺
18.02.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 TLTLW
- Mosta FC
Maltese Premier League
15.03.26	Mosta - Hamrun Spartans	2:1 ✺
07.03.26	Żabbar St. Patrick - Mosta	5:3 ✺
Maltese FA Trophy
03.03.26	Gżira United - Mosta	2:1 ✺
Maltese Premier League
28.02.26	Mosta - Marsaxlokk	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Gżira United - Mosta	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.3 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Maltese Premier League
18.02.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	0:1
08.01.26	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	2:2
02.11.25	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	0:1
05.12.20	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	1:0
11.01.20	Mosta - Tarxien Rainbows	5:2
24.08.19	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	0:4
02.02.19	Tarxien Rainbows - Mosta	0:2

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