Match Info

Southern League Premier South - Round 42

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Taunton Town		Evesham United

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.55	2.78
	1.98	4.05	2.77
	2.09	4.15	2.86	Watch
	2.05	3.6	2.7
	2.06	3.8	2.83
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (1.99)	3.83 ↑ (3.7)	2.79 ↓ (3.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
43.9%

Draw
23.7%

Evesham United
32.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.1%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50%

23.4%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Evesham United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Evesham United than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Evesham United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taunton Town - Evesham United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 15 and 19 in the zone Relegation).

Taunton is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Evesham has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Evesham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Taunton has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Taunton won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
10	Taunton	12	6	1	5	32:25	7	19
18	Evesham	13	4	1	8	15:26	-11	13

Last Results with these Odds

Taunton Town - the odds 1.99 are the expected chance of winning is 46.75%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English Southern League South Division
20.04.26	Taunton Town - Farnham Town	1:0 ✺
18.04.26	Taunton Town - Bracknell Town	2:0 ✺
11.04.26	Taunton Town - Uxbridge	2:1 ✺
06.04.26	Gloucester City - Taunton Town	0:2 ✺
03.04.26	Taunton Town - Walton & Hersham	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.4 WWWWW
- Evesham United
English Southern League South Division
18.04.26	Evesham United - Gosport Borough	1:3 ✺
11.04.26	Evesham United - Walton & Hersham	3:1 ✺
06.04.26	Yate Town - Evesham United	3:0 ✺
03.04.26	Evesham United - Poole Town	1:1 ✺
31.03.26	Tiverton Town - Evesham United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League South Division
13.12.25	Evesham United - Taunton Town	3:0

Taunton Town - Evesham United