Match Info

ENGLAND: National League South - Round 20

Date: 16 April 2024, Tuesday


	Taunton Town		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.2	2.5
	2.9	3.4	2.05
	3.1	3.6	2.1	Watch
	3.12	3.47	2.19
	3.12	3.47	2.19
	3.2	3.5	2
	3.09	3.49	2.12
	3.05	3.55	2.04
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.4)	3.46 ↓ (3.5)	2.15 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
30.6%

Draw
26.6%

Torquay United
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

25.5%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

25.2%

36.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taunton Town's form might have worsened.

Torquay United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Torquay United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Torquay United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
41.2%	11.8%	47.1%

Taunton Town - Torquay United Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Taunton will win (votes: 7 - 41.2%). Torquay will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Torquay: 23.4% – 70.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
16', 0 - 1, McGavin B. ⚽,
29', 0 - 2, Hall A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 2, Chamberlain O. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 15 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Taunton is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Torquay is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Taunton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Taunton have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Taunton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English National League South
13.04.24	Farnborough - Taunton Town	0:1 ✺
11.04.24	Taunton Town - Slough Town	0:4 ✺
09.04.24	Braintree Town - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Hampton & Richmond Borough - Taunton Town	1:1 ✺
03.04.24	Taunton Town - Maidstone United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 WLTTL
- Torquay United
English National League South
13.04.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
08.04.24	Truro City - Torquay United	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	Welling United - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:3 ✺
29.03.24	Yeovil Town - Torquay United	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
12.03.24	Torquay United - Taunton Town	0:3
English FA Trophy
17.01.23	Torquay United - Taunton Town	4:2

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