Match Info

National League South - Round 24

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Twerton Park (Bath)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Ecuador	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Bath City		Torquay United

	1	X	2
	3.35	3.25	2.05
	3.48	3.45	2.03	Watch
	3.3	3	2.1
	3.47	3.24	1.99
	3.4	3.25	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.4 ↓ (3.57)	3.24 ↓ (3.45)	2.04 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Bath City
26.9%

Draw
28.3%

Torquay United
44.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26%

26.9%

47.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.1%

26%

48.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bath City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Torquay United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath City than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Torquay United than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Bath City - Torquay United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 18 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ National League South (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bath won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Torquay is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Bath won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Bath won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Bath City
English National League South
26.12.25	Chippenham Town - Bath City	3:2 ✺
20.12.25	Bath City - Salisbury	2:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.12.25	Dorking Wanderers - Bath City	1:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
06.12.25	Maidstone United - Bath City	2:0 ✺
29.11.25	Bath City - Enfield Town	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWWLT
- Torquay United
English National League South
26.12.25	Torquay United - Weston-super-Mare	3:1 ✺
20.12.25	Totton - Torquay United	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Torquay United - Tonbridge Angels	1:2 ✺
29.11.25	Chelmsford City - Torquay United	0:2 ✺
25.11.25	Torquay United - Worthing	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.03.25	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0
20.08.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:2
13.04.24	Bath City - Torquay United	1:0
04.11.23	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0
19.01.19	Bath City - Torquay United	3:2
07.08.18	Torquay United - Bath City	1:0

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