Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 21

Date: 25 November 2023, Saturday


	Taunton Town		Worthing

	1	X	2
	2.88	3.5	2.2
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.9	3.6	2.2
	2.92	3.54	2.27
	2.92	3.54	2.28
	2.86	3.55	2.22
	2.85	3.5	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.38)	3.52 ↑ (3.48)	2.21 ↓ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taunton Town
32.1%

Draw
26.2%

Worthing
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

26.6%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

26%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Taunton Town's form might have worsened.

Worthing has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Worthing's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Taunton Town, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Worthing than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Worthing, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Taunton Town - Worthing Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Taunton has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Worthing is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Taunton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Taunton have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Taunton won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Taunton won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taunton Town
English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
11.11.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:0 ✺
28.10.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Taunton Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL
- Worthing FC
English National League South
21.11.23	Farnborough - Worthing	0:3 ✺
English FA Trophy
18.11.23	Frome Town - Worthing	3:2 penalties ✺
English National League South
14.11.23	Worthing - Dartford	3:4 ✺
07.11.23	Worthing - Havant & Waterlooville	3:0 ✺
English FA Cup
04.11.23	Alfreton Town - Worthing	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
22.04.23	Taunton Town - Worthing	3:2
22.10.22	Worthing - Taunton Town	1:1

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