Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 32

Date: 3 February 2024, Saturday


	Welling United		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.6
	1.85	3.6	3.75
	1.85	3.09	3.49
	1.82	3.6	4.22
	1.8	3.5	3.8
	1.8	3.62	4.06
	1.83	3.5	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (2.3)	3.47 ↑ (3.4)	3.81 ↑ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Welling United
49.9%

Draw
26.2%

Taunton Town
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39%

26.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.7%

33.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Welling United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Welling United's performance.

Taunton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Taunton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Welling United than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Welling United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Taunton Town could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Welling United - Taunton Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Welling will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Taunton will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 20).

Recent matches Welling is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Taunton is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Taunton could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Taunton have a series of home games.

In this match Welling is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Welling won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Welling won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Welling United
English National League South
30.01.24	Welling United - Hampton & Richmond Borough	2:1 ✺
27.01.24	Hemel Hempstead Town - Welling United	1:2 ✺
22.01.24	Chelmsford City - Welling United	1:0 ✺
English FA Trophy
13.01.24	Welling United - Chesterfield	2:0 ✺
English National League South
06.01.24	Welling United - Aveley	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WWLWL
- Taunton Town
English National League South
27.01.24	Taunton Town - Aveley	2:2 ✺
23.01.24	Taunton Town - Weymouth	0:2 ✺
13.01.24	Taunton Town - Dover Athletic	1:1 ✺
09.01.24	Taunton Town - Yeovil Town	0:1 ✺
06.01.24	Slough Town - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

English FA Trophy
21.11.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	3:2 penalties
English National League South
19.08.23	Taunton Town - Welling United	1:0
21.03.23	Welling United - Taunton Town	0:1
06.08.22	Taunton Town - Welling United	0:0

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