Match Info

ENGLAND: NATIONAL LEAGUE SOUTH - ROUND 18

Date: 11 November 2023, Saturday


	Hemel Hempstead Town		Taunton Town

	1	X	2
	2.38	3.3	2.7
	2.35	3.2	2.6
	2.5	3.3	2.65	Watch
	2.54	3.35	2.75
	2.55	3.26	2.75
	2.38	3.3	2.6
	2.45	3.34	2.67
	2.38	3.25	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.44 ↑ (2.34)	3.29 ↓ (3.37)	2.68 ↑ (2.66)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hemel Hempstead Town
37.7%

Draw
28%

Taunton Town
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

27%

34.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.8%

26.3%

33.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hemel Hempstead Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Taunton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hemel Hempstead Town than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Taunton Town than the current prediction. (-1%)

Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Hemel Hempstead is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Taunton is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Hemel Hempstead could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Hemel Hempstead won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Hemel Hempstead won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hemel Hempstead Town
English National League South
06.11.23	Aveley - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:1 ✺
28.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Dartford	2:1 ✺
24.10.23	Hemel Hempstead Town - Braintree Town	0:2 ✺
21.10.23	Dover Athletic - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:2 ✺
English FA Cup
17.10.23	Woking - Hemel Hempstead Town	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LWLTL
- Taunton Town
English National League South
28.10.23	Chelmsford City - Taunton Town	0:0 ✺
24.10.23	Bath City - Taunton Town	3:0 ✺
21.10.23	Taunton Town - Hampton & Richmond Borough	0:1 ✺
07.10.23	Dover Athletic - Taunton Town	2:2 ✺
30.09.23	Taunton Town - Eastbourne Borough	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

English National League South
18.03.23	Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	1:2
26.11.22	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	1:1
English FA Cup
18.10.16	Hemel Hempstead Town - Taunton Town	0:1
15.10.16	Taunton Town - Hemel Hempstead Town	0:0

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