The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tegevajaro Miyazaki 72.7%
Draw 18.2%
Ryūkyū 9.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
59.4%
23.8%
16.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
23%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tegevajaro Miyazaki's performance.
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ryūkyū might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-11.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tegevajaro Miyazaki that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ryūkyū could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
83.3%
16.7%
0%
Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Ryūkyū Predictions
Users Predictions:
Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%). Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 28. Manabe H. 39. Shimokawa Y. 5. Watanabe E. 27. Yamauchi R. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Hashimoto K.
50. Kawashima K. (G) 27. Funabashi Y. 35. Chiba K. 22. Kamiya K. 28. Tsuha J. 16. Ihori K. 46. Ikeda R. 7. Motegi S. 23. Sota K. 89. Takagi D. 26. Jennings C.
Substitutes
15. Abe T. 40. Ando R. 42. Matsumoto K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 8. Rikiyasu S. 82. Sakai S. 18. Sato R. 58. Take H. 45. Tanaka S.
8. Horiuchi H. 11. Ishiura T. 13. Iwamoto S. 17. Kato Y. 3. Kikuchi S. 1. Sato H. (G) 19. Sato M. 6. Shigema K. 18. Ueno Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Ano M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Jennings C. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
71', Sato M. 🟨,
72', Tsuha J. ↓, Kato Y. ↑,
72', Kamiya K. ↓, Horiuchi H. ↑,
83', Motegi S. ↓, Ueno Y. ↑,
83', Takagi D. ↓, Iwamoto S. ↑,
85', Watanabe E. ↓, Rikiyasu S. ↑,
85', Inoue R. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
85', Toshida Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
90+3', Okumura K. ↓, Take H. ↑,
90+3', Ano M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 3.
Tegevajaro Miyazaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Ryūkyū is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Tegevajaro Miyazaki may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Tegevajaro Miyazaki is the undeniable favorite.
We predict that Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.38.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.9:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Tegevajaro Miyazaki won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).
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Mogi S. (G) 
Jennings C. 
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