Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 10

Date: 12 April 2026, Sunday

Location: Egao Kenko Stadium (Kumamoto)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball


	Roasso Kumamoto		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.88	3.05	2.3	Watch
	3.19	3.15	2.31
	2.93	3.14	2.44	Watch
	3	3.1	2.15
	3.07	2.99	2.28	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.64)	3.09 ↓ (3.46)	2.3 ↓ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Roasso Kumamoto
30.4%

Draw
29.7%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

26.8%

38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.8%

26.6%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Roasso Kumamoto - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Tegevajaro Miyazaki will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sato S. (G) 5. Kobayashi K. 2. Kuroki K. 24. Ri T. 41. Omoto Y. 8. Kamimura S. 39. Aoki S. 13. Iihoshi A. 15. Mishima S. 11. Bae Jeong-Min 7. Fujii K.	1. Mogi S. (G) 24. Matsumoto Y. 33. Kuroki K. 15. Abe T. 39. Shimokawa Y. 5. Watanabe E. 27. Yamauchi R. 7. Ano M. 47. Okumura K. 10. Inoue R. 11. Toshida Y.
Substitutes
18. Handai M. 14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 22. Matsuda E. 25. Nasu K. 27. Negishi K. 23. Sato Y. (G) 26. Toda S. 4. Yakushida R.	40. Ando R. 42. Matsumoto K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 6. Okuma K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 82. Sakai S. 18. Sato R. 58. Take H. 25. Yokokubo K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
23', 0 - 1, Toshida Y. ⚽, Ano M. (A),
45', Bae Jeong-Min 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
49', 0 - 2, Toshida Y. ⚽,
55', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Handai M. ↑,
55', Iihoshi A. ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
67', 0 - 3, Sato S. (Own goal),
69', Okumura K. 🟨,
72', Kuroki K. ↓, Katori Y. ↑,
72', Omoto Y. ↓, Matsuda E. ↑,
74', Ano M. ↓, Sato R. ↑,
74', Inoue R. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
75', Toshida Y. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
78', Fujii K. ↓, Nasu K. ↑,
79', 0 - 4, Matsumoto K. ⚽, Sato R. (A),
84', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,
85', Okumura K. ↓, Take H. ↑,
88', 0 - 5, Sato R. ⚽,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Play Offs: )).

Kumamoto is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Tegevajaro Miyazaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Kumamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.3:1.3).

Including home match between the teams, Kumamoto won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Roasso Kumamoto - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 35.15%, but this team recently wins 45% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 J3 League
04.04.26	Ryūkyū - Roasso Kumamoto	0:1 ✺
29.03.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Kagoshima United	0:1 ✺
21.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
15.03.26	Roasso Kumamoto - Gainare Tottori	0:1 ✺
08.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WLLLL
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Renofa Yamaguchi	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Reilac Shiga - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
21.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Oita Trinita	1:0 ✺
07.03.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
21.03.26	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
Japan J3 League
27.11.21	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Roasso Kumamoto	1:0
04.04.21	Roasso Kumamoto - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:2

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