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Current Win Probability
Ryūkyū 21.6%
Draw 26.8%
Kagoshima United 51.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
22%
27.2%
50.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
21.2%
26.2%
52.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryūkyū has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryūkyū than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
Ryūkyū - Kagoshima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Umeda R. (G) 14. Suzuki J. (C) 3. Kikuchi S. 27. Funabashi Y. 15. Araki R. 8. Horiuchi H. 6. Shigema K. 17. Kato Y. 11. Ishiura T. 39. Ihara A. 9. Asakawa H.
73. Kumakura T. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 16. Muramatsu K. 4. Hirose K. 23. Kojima R. 41. Mishina N. 8. Fujimura K. 32. Umeki K. 11. Fukuda M. 36. Yonezawa R. 9. Arita R. (C)
Substitutes
35. Chiba K. 13. Iwamoto S. 26. Jennings C. 22. Kamiya K. 50. Kawashima K. (G) 7. Motegi S. 19. Sato M. 23. Sota K. 89. Takagi D.
35. Egawa G. 20. Endo M. 1. Fujishima E. (G) 18. Kawamura K. 55. Nakayama K. 10. Take S. 39. Toyama T. 14. Yoshio K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Asakawa H. ⚽, Ishiura T. (A),
32', 1 - 1, Arita R. ⚽, Fukuda M. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujimura K. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
65', Shigema K. ↓, Sota K. ↑,
65', Suzuki J. ↓, Kamiya K. ↑,
66', Yonezawa R. ↓, Kawamura K. ↑,
75', Aoki Y. 🟨,
81', Fukuda M. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
81', Mishina N. ↓, Take S. ↑,
83', Ihara A. ↓, Jennings C. ↑,
83', Asakawa H. ↓, Takagi D. ↑,
86', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,
Penalties (2 - 4)
1, Takagi D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Take S. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Sota K. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Kawamura K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Jennings C. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Yoshio K. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Ishiura T. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Aoki Y. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 1.
Ryūkyū is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Kagoshima United has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
In this match, Kagoshima United is considered a favorite.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 7:10. (average 1:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Ryūkyū won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.7:1).
China
Japan
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Umeda R. (G) 
Jennings C. 
Toyama T. 
