Match Info

GEORGIA: Crystalbet Erovnuli Liga - Relegation - Final

Date: 12 December 2024, Thursday

Location: Kavkasioni Arena (Telavi)

Referee: Kikacheishvili G. (Geo)


	Telavi		Rustavi

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.9	5.25
	1.5	3.95	5.4	Watch
	1.53	3.95	5.54
	1.5	4.12	5.63	Watch
	1.44	3.9	5.8
	1.47	4.05	5.8	Watch
	1.5	3.95	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.69)	3.97 ↓ (4)	5.55 ↑ (3.86)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Telavi
60.8%

Draw
22.8%

Rustavi
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.8%

22.7%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.7%

23.5%

22.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Telavi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Telavi's performance.

Rustavi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rustavi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Telavi than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Telavi that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rustavi than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rustavi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Telavi - Rustavi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Tandilashvili L. (G) 20. Gognadze T. 6. Junior Simao 30. Tolordava A. (C) 11. Parkinashvili E. 4. Marakvelidze P. 12. Tsnobiladze D. 9. Desire J. 8. Andre Mensalao 7. Morchiladze T. 37. Georgijevic D.	30. Begashvili G. (G) 27. Kapanadze M. 20. Dobranskyi D. 23. Kilasonia V. (C) 14. Jalaghonia G. 6. Sichinava Z. 21. Gujabidze A. 26. Jibril B. 22. Nakano Y. 24. Kessi S. 9. Gabedava G.
Substitutes
27. Fernandez Peralta M. J. 5. Gabitashvili P. 18. George Pitbull 22. Gogotishvili D. 24. Kountouriotis C. 33. Kurdadze B. (G) 39. Odishvili L. 23. Traore S. 2. Zhividze T.	5. Chumburidze N. 10. Gotsadze B. 1. Jojua L. (G) 8. Kemoklidze L. 17. Kometiani M. 19. Nuhu B. 4. Samadashvili G. 29. Sila M. 13. Tvildiani A.
Coaches
Christodoulou P.	Kilasonia V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Jibril B. 🟥,
24', Tolordava A. ↓, Odishvili L. ↑,
45+6', 1 - 0, Tsnobiladze D. ⚽, Morchiladze T. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', Tsnobiladze D. 🟨,
60', 2 - 0, Georgijevic D. ⚽,
63', Kilasonia V. 🟨,
64', Gabedava G. ↓, Sila M. ↑,
65', Gognadze T. 🟨,
71', Desire J. ↓, Zhividze T. ↑,
71', Nakano Y. ↓, Kometiani M. ↑,
79', Georgijevic D. ↓, Kountouriotis C. ↑,
79', Junior Simao ↓, Traore S. ↑,
79', Gognadze T. ↓, Gogotishvili D. ↑,
79', Gujabidze A. ↓, Nuhu B. ↑,
79', Kessi S. ↓, Kemoklidze L. ↑,
83', 2 - 1, Kilasonia V. (Pen),
89', Jalaghonia G. 🟨,
90', Kometiani M. 🟨,
90', Morchiladze T. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Telavi is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Telavi won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Telavi won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Telavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
08.12.24	Torpedo Kutaisi - Telavi	1:0 ✺
02.12.24	Telavi - Samtredia	5:2 ✺
27.11.24	Telavi - Samgurali Tskhaltubo	0:0 ✺
22.11.24	Gagra - Telavi	2:0 ✺
09.11.24	Telavi - Kolkheti Poti	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWTLW
- FC Rustavi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga 2
08.12.24	WIT Georgia - Rustavi	1:3 ✺
01.12.24	Rustavi - Spaeri	2:1 ✺
26.11.24	Gareji Sagarejo - Rustavi	4:0 ✺
22.11.24	Rustavi - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
02.11.24	Rustavi - Aragvi Dusheti	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLLW

Latest Head to Head

Georgian Erovnuli Liga
11.12.19	Rustavi - Telavi	1:2
05.12.19	Telavi - Rustavi	1:0

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