Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 4

Date: 20 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Beranger (Turdera)


	Temperley		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.5	2.65	3.4	Watch
	2.35	2.70	3.30
	2.38	2.68	3.4	Watch
	2.48	2.75	3.72
	2.52	2.56	3.61	Watch
	2.4	2.5	3.4
	2.37	2.57	3.47	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.43 ↑ (2.41)	2.63 ↑ (2.59)	3.47 ↑ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Temperley
38.1%

Draw
35.2%

San Martín de Tucumán
26.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38%

35.3%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

34.6%

26.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Temperley has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

The chances for San Martín de Tucumán have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Temperley than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	30%	20%

Temperley - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Temperley will win (votes: 5 - 50%). San Martin T will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Temperley: 19% – 81%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mastrolia E. (G) 4. Monti L. 2. Pacheco O. 6. Aguinagalde V. 3. Angelini L. 10. Benitez F. 5. Diaz F. 8. Arregui A. 11. Souto P. 7. Hauche G. 9. Kruger F.	1. Manganelli N. (G) 4. Salazar V. 2. Rodriguez G. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Diarte L. 11. Paz A. 8. Brinone S. 5. Graneros A. 10. Castro N. 7. Juarez J. 9. Arfaras L.
Substitutes
13. Avalos N. 17. Baigorria R. 19. Brandan F. 14. Calzon M. 18. Echeverria M. 12. Morrone L. (G) 16. Richarte L. 20. Silva F. 15. Tomasetti G.	20. Diellos D. 14. Gallardo N. 18. Galvan A. 16. Garcia M. 17. Monroy G. 13. Penalba T. 15. Rios M. 19. Rodriguez L. 12. Sand D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', Souto P. 🟨,
19', Graneros A. 🟨,
30', Angelini L. 🟨,
34', 1 - 0, Souto P. ⚽, Hauche G. (A),
45', Arregui A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Graneros A. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
65', Paz A. ↓, Rios M. ↑,
66', Castro N. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
69', Souto P. ↓, Brandan F. ↑,
69', Benitez F. ↓, Calzon M. ↑,
69', Arregui A. ↓, Avalos N. ↑,
72', Rios M. 🟨,
75', Juarez J. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
79', Hauche G. ↓, Echeverria M. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Brinone S. ⚽,
82', Diaz F. 🟨,
82', Diarte L. 🟨,
90+2', Arfaras L. ↓, Rodriguez L. ↑,
90+4', 🟨,

Preview

Federation decision.

Temperley is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

San Martin T has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Temperley might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Temperley won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Temperley won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).

Last Results with these Odds

San Martín de Tucumán - the odds 3.44 are the expected chance of winning is 26.67%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Temperley
Argentinian Primera Nacional
14.06.26	Temperley - Güemes	4:1 ✺
07.06.26	Chacarita Juniors - Temperley	0:1 ✺
31.05.26	Temperley - San Martín de San Juan	2:1 ✺
23.05.26	Nueva Chicago - Temperley	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia Jujuy - Temperley	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 WWWTL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.06.26	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
07.06.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
08.07.23	Temperley - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0
05.03.23	San Martín de Tucumán - Temperley	1:1
12.02.22	Temperley - San Martín de Tucumán	1:2
18.10.21	San Martín de Tucumán - Temperley	2:1
23.06.21	Temperley - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1

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