Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 14

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio El Gigante del Norte (Salta)


	Gimnasia y Tiro		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.85	2.65	2.75	Watch
	2.88	2.68	2.72	Watch
	3.03	2.77	3.02
	3.05	2.49	2.99	Watch
	2.9	2.5	2.88
	2.85	2.51	2.77	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.92)	2.6 (2.6)	2.86 ↓ (2.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gimnasia y Tiro
31.7%

Draw
35.7%

San Martín de Tucumán
32.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

36%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.8%

35.8%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnasia y Tiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Tiro than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	33.3%	33.3%

Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia y Tiro (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cosentino F. (G) 4. Tallura A. 2. Guanini M. 6. Soto G. 3. Montoya L. 8. Montoya W. 5. Sivetti F. 10. Rinaldi N. 11. Villarreal R. 7. Rocca J. 9. Gordillo L.	1. Sand D. (G) 5. Rodriguez G. 2. Ferreyra N. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Gallardo N. 4. Lopez E. 8. Rodriguez L. 10. Brinone S. 11. Cisnero A. 7. Arfaras L. 9. Diellos D.
Substitutes
15. Aguirre J. 18. Banega T. 14. Birge M. 16. Capano J. 20. Contin N. 13. Oviedo J. C. 12. Papaleo J. (G) 17. Rodriguez P. 19. Rojas F.	14. Borasi B. 15. Castro N. 17. Ferreyra L. 18. Garcia M. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 13. Penalba T. 20. Pons F. 19. Rodriguez G. 16. Salazar V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
41', Rinaldi N. 🟨,
43', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rinaldi N. ↓, Contin N. ↑,
46', Villarreal R. ↓, Aguirre J. ↑,
46', Arfaras L. ↓, Pons F. ↑,
58', Pons F. 🟨,
70', Gallardo N. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
72', Rocca J. ↓, Rojas F. ↑,
75', Cisnero A. ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
84', Sivetti F. ↓, Birge M. ↑,
84', Montoya W. ↓, Banega T. ↑,
86', 1 - 0, Contin N. ⚽,

Preview

Gimnasia y Tiro is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).

San Martin T's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Gimnasia y Tiro may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Gimnasia y Tiro won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnasia y Tiro
Argentinian Primera Nacional
09.05.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Agropecuario Argentino	2:3 ✺
Copa Argentina
30.04.26	Vélez Sársfield - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
26.04.26	Tristán Suárez - Gimnasia y Tiro	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - Güemes	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLT
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
12.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
08.05.26	Banfield - San Martín de Tucumán	2:1 penalties ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
02.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlético de Rafaela	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	Agropecuario Argentino - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
19.04.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Tristán Suárez	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
25.07.25	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0
23.03.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0

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