Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 18

Date: 13 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio de Colegiales (Buenos Aires)


	Colegiales		San Martín de Tucumán

	1	X	2
	2.40	2.70	3.40	Watch
	2.30	2.70	3.40
	2.60	2.70	3.05	Watch
	2.56	2.67	3.86
	2.52	2.54	3.66	Watch
	2.45	2.50	3.40
	2.44	2.74	3.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (2.64)	2.65 ↓ (2.73)	3.45 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Colegiales
37.8%

Draw
35.2%

San Martín de Tucumán
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.9%

33.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33%

31.9%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Colegiales has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

San Martín de Tucumán has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Colegiales than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that San Martín de Tucumán could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Di Fulvio E. (C) 4. Malagueno F. 3. Hanashiro F. 5. Marin F. 2. Rivero F. 7. Gonzalez L. 6. Ortiz L. 8. Juarez L. 11. Trinidad E. 10. Castillo L. 9. Toloza N.	1. Sand D. (C) 4. Salazar V. 2. Rodriguez G. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Diarte L. 11. Juarez J. 8. Rodriguez L. 5. Brinone S. 10. Castro N. 9. Arfaras L. 7. Rodriguez G.
Substitutes
19. Albertengo M. 12. Alcorcel A. (G) 15. Baglivo G. L. 14. Chiavetto A. 13. Insua E. 20. Monserrat R. E. 16. Montiel F. 18. Ocampo E. 17. Zicarelli F.	19. Borasi B. 20. Diellos D. 16. Garcia M. 15. Graneros A. 14. Lopez E. 12. Manganelli N. (G) 18. Monroy G. 17. Paz A. 13. Penalba T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Toloza N. 🟨,
23', Gonzalez L. 🟨,
29', Rodriguez G. 🟨,
33', Salazar V. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Trinidad E. ↓, Montiel F. ↑,
46', Salazar V. ↓, Monroy G. ↑,
53', Montiel F. 🟨,
60', Rodriguez G. ↓, Diellos D. ↑,
60', Castro N. ↓, Garcia M. ↑,
61', Juarez L. ↓, Ocampo E. ↑,
61', Gonzalez L. ↓, Monserrat R. E. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Rivero F. ⚽, Ocampo E. (A),
67', Monroy G. 🟨,
68', Juarez J. 🟨,
72', Brinone S. ↓, Graneros A. ↑,
75', Rivero F. 🟨,
79', Castillo L. ↓, Chiavetto A. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Monserrat R. E. ⚽, Toloza N. (A),
82', Juarez J. ↓, Paz A. ↑,
86', Diarte L. 🟨,
89', Toloza N. ↓, Albertengo M. ↑,

Preview

Colegiales has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

San Martin T's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:2. (average 1:1).

Including home match between the teams, Colegiales won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Colegiales - the odds 2.64 are the expected chance of winning is 34.88%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Colegiales
Argentinian Primera Nacional
06.06.26	Atlético de Rafaela - Colegiales	1:0 ✺
30.05.26	Colegiales - Agropecuario Argentino	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Tristán Suárez - Colegiales	0:0 ✺
16.05.26	Colegiales - Güemes	4:1 ✺
10.05.26	Chacarita Juniors - Colegiales	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWL
- San Martín de Tucumán
Argentinian Primera Nacional
07.06.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes	0:0 ✺
31.05.26	Ferrocarril Midland - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0 ✺
24.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Atlanta Buenos Aires	0:1 ✺
17.05.26	Gimnasia y Tiro - San Martín de Tucumán	1:0 ✺
12.05.26	San Martín de Tucumán - Gimnasia Jujuy	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.09.25	Colegiales - San Martín de Tucumán	2:0
02.05.25	San Martín de Tucumán - Colegiales	2:0

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