The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Tucumán 47.6%
Draw 32.2%
Quilmes 20.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.5%
33.4%
19.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
32.5%
18.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Tucumán has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
Quilmes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Tucumán than the current prediction. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Quilmes than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
80%
20%
0%
San Martín de Tucumán - Quilmes Predictions
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. San Martin T will win (votes: 4 - 80%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Manganelli N. (G) 4. Lopez E. 2. Ferreyra N. 6. Parnisari E. 3. Gallardo N. 8. Rodriguez L. 5. Rodriguez G. 10. Castro N. 11. Juarez J. 7. Arfaras L. 9. Diellos D.
1. Marinelli G. (G) 4. Vallejos M. 2. Rasso I. 6. Kippes A. 3. Ortega T. 8. Yangali J. 5. Bolivar A. 10. Batista A. 11. Vera U. 7. Lavezzi A. 9. Spetale A.
Substitutes
18. Borasi B. 15. Brinone S. 14. Diarte L. 17. Garcia M. 13. Penalba T. 20. Rios M. 19. Rodriguez G. 16. Salazar V. 12. Sand D. (G)
20. Dominguez A. 17. Fernandez M. 12. Glellel E. (G) 15. Luna R. 18. Martinez R. 14. Ortega A. 13. Recalde L. 19. Vazquez G. 16. Yozwiak F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
18', Lopez E. 🟨,
40', Ortega T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Yangali J. 🟨,
68', Ferreyra N. 🟨,
71', Spetale A. ↓, Dominguez A. ↑,
73', Lopez E. ↓, Brinone S. ↑,
73', Castro N. ↓, Rodriguez G. ↑,
73', Gallardo N. ↓, Diarte L. ↑,
74', Dominguez A. 🟨,
76', Vera U. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
79', Arfaras L. ↓, Borasi B. ↑,
90+3', Lavezzi A. ↓, Vazquez G. ↑,
90+3', Batista A. ↓, Martinez R. ↑,
90+3', Rodriguez G. ↓, Penalba T. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 2.
San Martin T is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Quilmes's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, San Martin T is the team to beat.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, San Martin T won 3 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.3:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, San Martin T won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).