Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 19

Date: 11 December 2023, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Finland	MTV Urheilu
Greece	Nova Sports


	Tenerife		Alcorcón

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.6	7.5	Watch
	1.57	3.4	6.25
	1.6	3.4	6.5	Watch
	1.59	3.66	7.62
	1.6	3.66	7.62
	1.53	3.5	6.5
	1.57	3.66	6.6	Watch
	1.58	3.5	6.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	6.9 ↑ (4.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
59.8%

Draw
26.6%

Alcorcón
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.2%

27.7%

20.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.3%

27.1%

19.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.

Alcorcón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alcorcón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alcorcón than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alcorcón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.9%	0%	6.1%

Tenerife - Alcorcón Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (62 of 66 users predict this - 93.94%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.18% – 99.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 2. Bunuel A. 6. Jose Amo 23. Sipcic N. 3. Medrano F. 27. Cruz Luisimi 10. Corredera A. 16. Sanz A. 7. Elady 14. Lopez R. 9. Rodriguez A.	13. Anacker L. (G) 20. Lopez I. 2. Castro J. 23. Chema 3. Morillas D. 17. Garcia V. 18. Eteki Y. 15. Lara J. 8. Rodriganez J. 21. Obieta K. 9. Borrego C.
Substitutes
28. Alassan A. 32. Belza J. 15. Bodiger Y. 35. Caropitche S. M. 11. Dauda M. 5. Gonzalez S. 20. Hernandez P. 24. Nacho 13. Nadal T. (G) 19. Romero Morillo A. 21. Teto A. 31. Williams L.	22. Artola J. 7. Bustos A. 29. Callis E. 14. Lopez A. 5. Mosquera P. 16. Perez J. 4. Rivas Viondi O. 1. Ruiz J. (G)
Coaches
Garitano A.	Nafti M.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 22 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3.

Recent matches Tenerife is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alcorcón has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 23-18.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 15-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	2:3 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.23	Eldense - Tenerife	0:3 ✺
26.11.23	Tenerife - Cartagena	1:1 ✺
18.11.23	Amorebieta - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
12.11.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTLL
- AD Alcorcón
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.12.23	Alcorcón - Cartagena	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
03.12.23	Alcorcón - Elche	0:2 ✺
26.11.23	Espanyol - Alcorcón	2:0 ✺
18.11.23	Alcorcón - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
12.11.23	Burgos - Alcorcón	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
13.02.22	Alcorcón - Tenerife	0:2
21.11.21	Tenerife - Alcorcón	1:0
28.02.21	Tenerife - Alcorcón	3:1
19.09.20	Alcorcón - Tenerife	2:0
13.07.20	Alcorcón - Tenerife	0:0
14.12.19	Tenerife - Alcorcón	0:0
16.03.19	Alcorcón - Tenerife	1:1

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