Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 15

Date: 12 November 2023, Sunday


	Tenerife		Villarreal B

	1	X	2
	1.5	4	7.5	Watch
	1.55	3.6	5.5
	1.57	3.75	6	Watch
	1.59	3.89	6.85
	1.59	3.89	6.85
	1.57	3.6	5.5
	1.55	3.94	6.15	Watch
	1.56	3.75	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.68)	3.8 ↑ (3.8)	6.32 ↑ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
60.3%

Draw
24.8%

Villarreal B
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.5%

24.9%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

20.9%

22.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Villarreal B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-13%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villarreal B than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Villarreal B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Tenerife - Villarreal B Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Soriano J. (G) 22. Mellot J. 6. Jose Amo 31. Williams L. 24. Nacho 32. Belza J. 5. Gonzalez S. 10. Corredera A. 7. Elady 21. Teto A. 18. Enric (C)	1. Alvarez I. (G) 29. Espigares A. 12. Lekovic S. 5. Rando A. 3. Tasende D. 16. Lanchi 14. Gelardo A. 8. Garcia C. (C) 10. Ontiveros J. 11. Pascual J. 9. Fores A.
Substitutes
28. Alassan A. 15. Bodiger Y. 2. Bunuel A. 20. Hernandez P. 14. Lopez R. 3. Medrano F. 13. Nadal T. (G) 9. Rodriguez A. 19. Romero Morillo A. 16. Sanz A. 23. Sipcic N.	17. Blanco F. 7. Collado D. 24. Ferrari A. 22. Geralnik T. 19. Iniguez P. 23. Moreno V. 13. Morro M. A. (G) 33. Navarro P. 27. Requena D. 21. Rodri 15. Sanchez M.
Coaches
Garitano A.	Alvarez M.

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 8 and 18).

Recent matches Tenerife is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Villarreal B is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tenerife have a series of guest games.

In this match Tenerife is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.23	Valladolid - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
01.11.23	Compostela - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.23	Elche - Tenerife	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Tenerife - Levante	0:0 ✺
14.10.23	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LWLTT
- Villarreal B
Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.23	Villarreal B - Sporting de Gijón	0:3 ✺
29.10.23	Leganés - Villarreal B	1:0 ✺
21.10.23	Villarreal B - Mirandés	0:3 ✺
15.10.23	Burgos - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
09.10.23	Villarreal B - Espanyol	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
05.08.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	2:0
Spanish LaLiga2
01.04.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	1:1
10.12.22	Villarreal B - Tenerife	2:2

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