Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 7

Date: 30 September 2024, Monday

Location: Estadio El Sardinero (Santander)

Referee: Palencia Caballero D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 2, StarTimes App
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5
Australia	beIN Connect
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 3, Moja TV
Bulgaria	Max Sport 2
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Greece	Nova Sports Start
Indonesia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	Sky Sport
Nigeria	Sporty TV
Portugal	DAZN 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
Spain	DAZN Espana, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 2, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
Thailand	AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1
Turkey	beIN Sports 3, S Sport+
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Sport
United-kingdom	Premier Sports Player
World	Disney+


	Racing Santander		Cartagena

	1	X	2
	1.44	4.2	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.33	6
	1.42	4.5	7	Watch
	1.45	4.67	7.45
	1.47	4.49	6.8	Watch
	1.48	4.5	6.47	Watch
	1.42	4.5	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.45 ↓ (1.55)	4.46 ↑ (4.13)	6.89 ↑ (5.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Racing Santander
65.2%

Draw
21.1%

Cartagena
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.9%

22.9%

16.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.4%

22%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Racing Santander has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

Cartagena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Racing Santander than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	5.6%	5.6%

Racing Santander - Cartagena Predictions

Users Predictions: Racing Santander will win (16 of 18 users predict this - 88.89%).
Confidence interval (95%): 74.37% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Ezkieta J. (G) 17. Michelin C. 18. Manu 24. Montero J. 40. Garcia M. 21. Vencedor U. 8. Aldasoro A. 11. Martin A. 29. Jeremy Arevalo 10. Vicente I. 9. Arana J.	1. Cunat P. (G) 19. Aguirregabiria M. 4. Alcala P. 24. Sipcic N. 12. Vukcevic A. 6. Mini 18. Musto D. 8. Munoz L. 20. Izquierdo J. 7. Valles G. 10. Escriche D.
Substitutes
20. Camara S. 5. Castro J. 3. Garcia S. 12. Gueye M. 7. Junior L. 19. Karrikaburu J. 4. Moreno P. 1. Parera P. M. (G) 22. Rodriguez P. 6. Sainz-Maza I. 15. Sangalli M. 14. Zenitagoia E.	17. Andy 40. Fuidias T. (G) 34. Gonzalez H. 2. Moreno J. 9. Ortuno A. 30. Reyes J. (G) 3. Rios Reina J. 37. Roman P. 23. Teguia C.
Coaches
Lopez J.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Vukcevic A. ↓, Rios Reina J. ↑,
45', 0 - 1, Munoz L. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Jeremy Arevalo ↓, Rodriguez P. ↑,
58', 0 - 2, Izquierdo J. ⚽,
68', Arana J. ↓, Karrikaburu J. ↑,
68', Vencedor U. ↓, Camara S. ↑,
68', Garcia M. ↓, Junior L. ↑,
70', Escriche D. ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
70', Izquierdo J. ↓, Gonzalez H. ↑,
73', Valles G. 🟨,
75', 1 - 2, Martin A. ⚽, Michelin C. (A),
76', Munoz L. ↓, Moreno J. ↑,
76', Valles G. ↓, Ortuno A. ↑,
81', Alcala P. 🟨,
81', Montero J. ↓, Gueye M. ↑,
83', Musto D. 🟨,
90+4', Mini 🟨,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Racing in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Cartagena is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Racing is certain favorite.

Our prediction for today's Racing to win the game is with odds 1.47.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Racing won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Racing won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Santander
Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Castellón - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
14.09.24	Racing Santander - Sporting de Gijón	1:0 ✺
06.09.24	Tenerife - Racing Santander	0:1 ✺
30.08.24	Real Oviedo - Racing Santander	1:3 ✺
23.08.24	Racing Santander - Eibar	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.3 WWWWT
- FC Cartagena
Spanish LaLiga2
22.09.24	Cartagena - Cádiz	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Real Oviedo - Cartagena	1:0 ✺
08.09.24	Cartagena - Levante	0:1 ✺
01.09.24	Eldense - Cartagena	1:2 ✺
26.08.24	Cartagena - Zaragoza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
21.01.24	Racing Santander - Cartagena	0:2
14.10.23	Cartagena - Racing Santander	2:3
28.05.23	Racing Santander - Cartagena	3:1
17.12.22	Cartagena - Racing Santander	0:3

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