Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 19

Date: 7 December 2022, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Vega A. C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Denmark	TV2 Sport
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Portugal	Eleven Sports
Romania	Digi Sport 2
Slovenia	Arena Sport


	Tenerife		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.2	2.8	4.2	Watch
	2.15	2.75	3.7
	2.35	2.85	3.5
	2.22	2.8	3.7
	2.23	2.88	4.2
	2.38	2.75	3.5	Watch
	2.22	2.86	3.84	Watch
	2.32	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.52)	2.82 ↑ (2.75)	3.77 ↑ (3.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.7%

Draw
33.3%

Deportivo Alavés
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.1%

34%

28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

35.6%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
29.2%	29.2%	41.5%

Tenerife - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 65 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 19 - 29.2%). Alavés will win (votes: 27 - 41.5%). It will Tie (votes: 19 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 29.5% – 53.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 16 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs)).

Tenerife has the most likely position - 13 (7.22%), has project points - 55, has currently - 20, has a small chance of relegated (10%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (13%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (14.36%), has project points - 69, has currently - 34, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (40%), has a chance of promoted (35%), has a small chance of win league (14%).

This event has quality 37, importance 40, match rating 39. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2.

Recent matches Tenerife is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Alavés is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Tenerife could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-9.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Club Friendly
04.12.22	Tenerife - Brøndby	0:4 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.22	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
26.11.22	Las Palmas - Tenerife	3:1 ✺
19.11.22	Tenerife - Huesca	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Lealtad - Tenerife	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LLLWW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
02.12.22	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	3:1 ✺
26.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
20.11.22	Eibar - Deportivo Alavés	0:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Lleida - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.22	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
10.04.16	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	2:2
07.11.15	Tenerife - Deportivo Alavés	2:0
11.04.15	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	1:0
09.11.14	Tenerife - Deportivo Alavés	1:1
06.04.14	Tenerife - Deportivo Alavés	2:0
03.11.13	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	2:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.06.13	Tenerife - Deportivo Alavés	2:1

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