Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga - Round 31

Date: 14 April 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Nuevo Los Cármenes (Granada)

Referee: Garcia V. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	SuperSport
Argentina	DirecTV
Australia	Optus Sport
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport
Bulgaria	Max Sport 4
Croatia	Arena Sport
Cyprus	PrimeTel
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Finland	MTV Katsomo
France	beIN Sports Max
Greece	Nova Sports
Serbia	Arena Sport
United-kingdom	Viaplay


	Granada		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	3	3	2.6	Watch
	2.95	3.1	2.55
	3	3.1	2.6	Watch
	3.02	3.09	2.69
	3.02	3.09	2.69
	3	3	2.6
	3.07	3.23	2.63	Watch
	2.98	3.1	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↓ (3.38)	3.09 ↓ (3.19)	2.63 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Granada
32.1%

Draw
31.2%

Deportivo Alavés
36.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.3%

30%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.4%

27.9%

38.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Granada has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Granada than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	42.3%	26.9%

Granada - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Granada will win (votes: 8 - 30.8%). Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 42.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.3% – 61.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Batalla A. (G) 2. Bruno Mendez 4. Rubio M. 14. Miquel I. 15. Neva C. (C) 19. Pellistri F. 23. Gumbau G. 20. Ruiz S. 18. Jozwiak K. 7. Boye L. 11. Uzuni M.	1. Sivera A. (G) 2. Gorosabel A. 14. Tenaglia N. 16. Marin R. 3. Duarte R. (C) 6. Guevara A. 8. Blanco A. 11. Rioja L. 29. Panichelli J. 22. Vicente C. 32. Omorodion S.
Substitutes
8. Arezo M. 9. Callejon J. 17. Corbeanu T. 1. Fernandez R. (G) 6. Hongla M. 3. Maouassa F. 13. Martinez M. (G) 22. Piatkowski K. 10. Puertas A. 12. Sanchez R. 28. Torrente R. 24. Villar G.	5. Abqar A. 17. Alkain X. 23. Benavidez C. 15. Garcia K. 18. Guridi J. 10. Hagi I. 27. Lopez J. 31. Owono J. (G) 21. Rebbach A. 20. Simeone G. 7. Sola A.
Coaches
Sandoval J.	Garcia L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Uzuni M. (Pen),
20', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Boye L. ⚽, Ruiz S. (A),
45', Uzuni M. 🟨,
45', Tenaglia N. 🟨,
45+3', Gumbau G. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rioja L. ↓, Sola A. ↑,
46', Vicente C. ↓, Rebbach A. ↑,
60', Rubio M. 🟨,
64', Jozwiak K. ↓, Villar G. ↑,
64', Omorodion S. ↓, Garcia K. ↑,
64', Blanco A. ↓, Benavidez C. ↑,
71', Panichelli J. ↓, Simeone G. ↑,
75', Uzuni M. ↓, Callejon J. ↑,
83', Boye L. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
83', Gumbau G. ↓, Hongla M. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ LaLiga2 and 13).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Granada won 3.

Granada has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Alavés is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 12 head-to-head matches Granada won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 22-17.

Including matches at home between the teams Granada won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Granada CF
Spanish LaLiga
04.04.24	Granada - Valencia	0:1 ✺
29.03.24	Cádiz - Granada	1:0 ✺
16.03.24	Mallorca - Granada	1:0 ✺
09.03.24	Granada - Real Sociedad	2:3 ✺
03.03.24	Villarreal - Granada	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga
31.03.24	Deportivo Alavés - Real Sociedad	0:1 ✺
16.03.24	Athletic Bilbao - Deportivo Alavés	2:0 ✺
10.03.24	Deportivo Alavés - Rayo Vallecano	1:0 ✺
04.03.24	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Deportivo Alavés - Mallorca	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.1 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga
24.11.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	3:1
Spanish LaLiga2
05.05.23	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	1:1
02.12.22	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	3:1
Spanish LaLiga
19.03.22	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	2:3
03.12.21	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:1
16.05.21	Deportivo Alavés - Granada	4:2
20.09.20	Granada - Deportivo Alavés	2:1

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