Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 41

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Palencia D. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DSports 2, Dsports 8
Ecuador	DSports 2, DSports 8
Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	GolStadium, LaLiga Hypermotion 5, LaLiga Hypermotion, LaLiga TV Bar 5, Movistar Plus+
Uruguay	DSports 2, DSports 8


	Tenerife		Real Oviedo

	1	X	2
	4.1	3	2.1	Watch
	3.9	2.9	2
	3.85	2.95	2.11	Watch
	4.34	3.17	2.04
	4.53	2.96	2.04	Watch
	4	2.9	2.1
	4.13	3.08	2.07	Watch
	3.85	2.95	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.09 ↓ (4.6)	2.99 ↓ (3.43)	2.07 ↑ (1.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
23%

Draw
31.5%

Real Oviedo
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

20.5%

27.4%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.2%

26.9%

53%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Real Oviedo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Oviedo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Oviedo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.7%	7.7%	84.6%

Tenerife - Real Oviedo Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Tenerife (2.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (11 of 13 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 65.01% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Real Oviedo will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Tenerife (votes: 3 - 30%). Oviedo (votes: 7 - 70%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 12. Landazuri A. 5. Gonzalez S. 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 16. Sanz A. (C) 8. Diarra Y. 15. Bodiger Y. 33. Martin Luis A. 11. Cruz Luismi	13. Escandell A. (G) 5. Vidal N. 4. Costas D. 12. Calvo D. (C) 3. Alhassane R. 23. Hassan H. 6. Sibo K. 11. Colombatto S. 10. Portillo F. 27. Cardero A. 9. Alemao
Substitutes
29. Alvarez C. 25. Badia E. (G) 19. Cantero A. 18. Enric 32. Fernandez D. 14. Guerrero A. 23. Juande 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 9. Rodriguez A. 21. Teto A.	1. Braat Q. (G) 8. Cazorla S. 31. Chukwuma E. 18. de la Fuente P. 17. de la Hoz C. 36. Gueye L. 15. Luengo O. 30. Marco Esteban 7. Moyano F. 14. Paraschiv D. 21. Pomares C. 20. Seoane J.
Coaches
Cervera A.	Paunovic V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
59', Rubio W. ↓, Enric ↑,
60', Portillo F. ↓, Cazorla S. ↑,
61', Hassan H. ↓, Paraschiv D. ↑,
61', Cardero A. ↓, Luengo O. ↑,
68', Sibo K. 🟨,
72', Cruz Luismi ↓, Teto A. ↑,
73', Martin Luis A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
74', 0 - 1, Vidal N. ⚽,
82', Sibo K. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
83', Rodriguez D. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
84', Alemao ↓, de la Fuente P. ↑,
85', Landazuri A. 🟨,
86', Luengo O. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Tenerife is Relegated to

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 2.

Tenerife has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Oviedo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Tenerife may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Oviedo is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury) Juande (Inactive) Landazuri A. (Red Card) Leon J. (Injury) Medrano F. (Inactive) Moreno M. (Inactive)

There will not play in Oviedo: Ahijado L. (Muscle Injury) Chaira I. (Shoulder Injury) Lemos A. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Tenerife: Alvarez C. (Injury)

There are questionable in Oviedo: Vinas F. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tenerife won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 20:22. (average 1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Tenerife won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 13:8. (average 1.4:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
17.05.25	Cartagena - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Tenerife - Ferrol	0:0 ✺
04.05.25	Levante - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
27.04.25	Tenerife - Eibar	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Deportivo A Coruña - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTTTT
- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
18.05.25	Real Oviedo - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
11.05.25	Racing Santander - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
03.05.25	Huesca - Real Oviedo	1:2 ✺
26.04.25	Real Oviedo - Levante	1:0 ✺
20.04.25	Córdoba - Real Oviedo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
17.11.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	3:1
28.04.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:1
14.08.23	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	1:0
10.03.23	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:0
30.11.22	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	0:1
21.01.22	Tenerife - Real Oviedo	4:0
28.08.21	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:0

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