Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 15

Date: 4 November 2022, Friday

Location: Estadio Mendizorrotza (Vitoria-Gasteiz)

Referee: Maeso F. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Croatia	Arena Sport
Denmark	TV2 Sport X
Greece	Nova Sports
Poland	Canal+ Sport 5
Portugal	Eleven Sports


	Deportivo Alavés		Zaragoza

	1	X	2
	2.15	3	4	Watch
	2.15	2.8	3.7
	2.14	2.9	4
	2.15	2.85	3.75
	2.21	2.91	4.19
				Watch
	2.12	2.88	4.15	Watch
	2.13	3	3.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.95)	2.91 ↓ (2.94)	3.96 ↓ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Deportivo Alavés
43.8%

Draw
32.4%

Zaragoza
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.3%

31.5%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.9%

31.1%

20.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Zaragoza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Zaragoza than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75.4%	17.4%	7.2%

Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza Predictions

Users Predictions: 69 users predict this event. Alavés will win (votes: 52 - 75.4%). Zaragoza will win (votes: 5 - 7.2%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 17.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Alavés: 65.2% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga and 14).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (13.11%), has project points - 68, has currently - 27, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (36%), has a chance of promoted (32%), has a small chance of win league (13%).

Zaragoza has the most likely position - 14 (6.38%), has project points - 55, has currently - 16, has a small chance of relegated (14%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (14%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).

This event has quality 36, importance 38, match rating 37. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Alavés won 1.

Alavés is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Zaragoza is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Alavés is a favorite.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Alavés won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Racing Santander - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
29.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
22.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Sporting de Gijón	0:0 ✺
15.10.22	FC Andorra - Deportivo Alavés	0:1 ✺
12.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 TWTWT
- Real Zaragoza
Spanish LaLiga2
01.11.22	Zaragoza - FC Andorra	0:2 ✺
28.10.22	Tenerife - Zaragoza	0:2 ✺
21.10.22	Granada - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
15.10.22	Zaragoza - Villarreal B	2:1 ✺
12.10.22	Racing Santander - Zaragoza	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
07.08.19	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	0:0
06.08.16	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
06.03.16	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	0:0
03.10.15	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
22.02.15	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	4:0
20.09.14	Zaragoza - Deportivo Alavés	1:0
30.03.14	Deportivo Alavés - Zaragoza	2:2

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