Match Info

Date: 26 March 2022, Saturday


	Real Oviedo		Fuenlabrada

	1	X	2
	1.83	3.2	5.25	Watch
	1.8	3	4.6
	1.82	3.05	5.3	Watch
	1.85	3.05	4.7
	1.9	3.07	5.6
	1.95	3.1	4.2	Watch
	1.86	3.08	5.35	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.86 ↓ (2.1)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	5 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Oviedo
50.6%

Draw
30.6%

Fuenlabrada
18.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.4%

29.6%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.2%

29.7%

25.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Oviedo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Real Oviedo's performance.

Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fuenlabrada might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Real Oviedo than the current prediction. (-5.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Real Oviedo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+6.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fuenlabrada could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79%	14.5%	6.5%

Real Oviedo - Fuenlabrada Predictions

Users Predictions: Real Oviedo will win (49 of 62 users predict this - 79.03%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.9% – 89.16%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 8 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Oviedo has the most likely position - 7 (15.59%), has project points - 60, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (20%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (33.32%), has project points - 40, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (85%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.

This event has small quality 27, importance 31, small match rating 29. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Last 5 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 0.

Recent matches Oviedo is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Fuenlabrada is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Oviedo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Oviedo is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Oviedo won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Oviedo
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Lugo - Real Oviedo	1:1 ✺
13.03.22	Real Oviedo - Valladolid	3:0 ✺
06.03.22	Girona - Real Oviedo	2:1 ✺
26.02.22	Real Oviedo - Real Sociedad B	0:1 ✺
20.02.22	Burgos - Real Oviedo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TWLLW
- CF Fuenlabrada
Spanish LaLiga2
19.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Málaga	1:0 ✺
11.03.22	Zaragoza - Fuenlabrada	2:1 ✺
05.03.22	Fuenlabrada - Burgos	1:2 ✺
25.02.22	Almería - Fuenlabrada	3:1 ✺
20.02.22	Fuenlabrada - Alcorcón	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
19.12.21	Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo	0:0
22.02.21	Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo	2:2
21.11.20	Real Oviedo - Fuenlabrada	1:1
25.06.20	Real Oviedo - Fuenlabrada	0:0
31.08.19	Fuenlabrada - Real Oviedo	2:1
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.08.12	Real Oviedo - Fuenlabrada	2:0

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