The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Fuenlabrada 29.1%
Draw 31.3%
Huesca 39.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.2%
31.6%
34.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34.9%
32.3%
33.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Fuenlabrada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Fuenlabrada's form might have worsened.
Huesca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Huesca's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fuenlabrada than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Fuenlabrada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Huesca than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Huesca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Fuenlabrada - Huesca Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 11).
Fuenlabrada has the most likely position - 21 (38.58%), has project points - 38, has currently - 29, has a good chance of relegated (92%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of promoted (<1%), has not chance of win league.
Huesca has the most likely position - 9 (14.94%), has project points - 58, has currently - 45, has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a very small chance of prom. playoffs (4%), has a very small chance of promoted (1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has small quality28, small importance17, small match rating23. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Last 5 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 0.
Fuenlabrada is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Huesca is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Fuenlabrada could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.
Last 8 head-to-head matches Fuenlabrada won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 7-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Fuenlabrada won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5-6.