Match Info

SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 36

Date: 16 April 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Fuentes Molina A. (Esp)


	Tenerife		Ibiza

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.8	8.5	Watch
	1.46	3.6	7.75
	1.43	3.9	9
	1.47	3.99	9.26
	1.47	3.98	7.9	Watch
	1.47	3.85	8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.77)	3.85 ↑ (3.2)	8.4 ↑ (4.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
64.3%

Draw
24.5%

Ibiza
11.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.4%

29%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52%

29.2%

18.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.

Ibiza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ibiza might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-12.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ibiza than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ibiza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	20%	5%

Tenerife - Ibiza Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Ibiza will win (votes: 1 - 5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 56% – 94%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 15 and 21 in the zone Relegation).

Tenerife has the most likely position - 14 (11.32%), project points - 54, currently - 43, a very small chance of relegated (<1%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.

Ibiza has the most likely position - 21 (66.83%), project points - 36, currently - 29, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.

This event has quality 32, very small importance 6, small match rating 19. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Tenerife could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tenerife is absolute favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
07.04.23	Lugo - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
01.04.23	Tenerife - Villarreal B	1:1 ✺
25.03.23	Deportivo Alavés - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
18.03.23	Tenerife - Las Palmas	4:1 ✺
10.03.23	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TTLWT
- UD Ibiza
Spanish LaLiga2
08.04.23	Ibiza - Sporting de Gijón	1:3 ✺
02.04.23	Mirandés - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
25.03.23	Ibiza - Burgos	2:0 ✺
18.03.23	FC Andorra - Ibiza	2:2 ✺
11.03.23	Ibiza - Villarreal B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.7 LTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
11.09.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	1:0
Club Friendly
31.07.22	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:1
Spanish LaLiga2
19.02.22	Tenerife - Ibiza	2:0
04.11.21	Ibiza - Tenerife	0:0

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