Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 14

Date: 7 January 2025, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)


	Tenerife		Levante

	1	X	2
	3.2	3	2.35	Watch
	3.1	2.9	2.35
	3.1	3.1	2.35	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.63
	3.29	3.02	2.41	Watch
	3.2	3	2.38
	3.31	2.88	2.49	Watch
	3.1	3.1	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.15 ↑ (2.35)	3.01 ↓ (3.13)	2.41 ↓ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
29.8%

Draw
31.2%

Levante
38.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

30.4%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4%

30.5%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Levante has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Levante's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Levante than the current prediction. (-9.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Levante, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
7.3%	39%	53.7%

Tenerife - Levante Predictions

Users Predictions: 40 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 3 - 7.5%). Levante will win (votes: 21 - 52.5%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Levante: 37% – 68%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Badia E. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 4. Leon J. 12. Alves R. 11. Cruz Luismi 8. Diarra Y. 15. Bodiger Y. 17. Rubio W. 9. Rodriguez A. 18. Enric (C)	1. Fernandez A. (G) 2. Garcia A. 5. Elgezabal U. 4. Dela 16. Varela Pampin D. 6. Kochorashvili G. 20. Rey O. 23. Martinez P. (C) 7. Brugue R. 9. Romero I. 11. Morales J.
Substitutes
19. Cantero A. 1. Carrasco S. (G) 6. Gonzalez F. 27. Manjam A. 33. Martin Luis A. 3. Medrano F. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 16. Sanz A. 21. Teto A.	27. Alcaniz E. 24. Alvarez C. 14. Cabello J. 17. Clemente O. 38. Espi C. 30. Fernandez V. 21. Lozano S. 29. Navarro M. 36. Pastor A. (G) 32. Primo A. (G) 31. Xavi Grande
Coaches
Cervera A.	Calero J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Calero J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Rodriguez A. ↓, Cantero A. ↑,
46', Rubio W. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
49', 0 - 1, Morales J. ⚽, Romero I. (A),
52', Morales J. ↓, Lozano S. ↑,
56', Cruz Luismi 🟥,
59', Alves R. ↓, Medrano F. ↑,
60', Enric ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
61', Rey O. 🟨,
71', 0 - 2, Badia E. (Own goal),
73', Bodiger Y. ↓, Gonzalez F. ↑,
75', Romero I. ↓, Espi C. ↑,
76', Brugue R. ↓, Alvarez C. ↑,
85', 0 - 3, Garcia A. ⚽,
88', Garcia A. ↓, Clemente O. ↑,
89', Martinez P. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 7).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Levante could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tenerife will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Levante: Brugue R. (Thigh Injury) Iborra V. (Heel Injury) Varela Pampin D. (Muscle Injury)

Last 6 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.2:0.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0 (average 0.3:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.25	Tenerife - Osasuna	1:2 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
19.12.24	Huesca - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Córdoba - Tenerife	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLLW
- Levante UD
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Levante - Huesca	1:1 ✺
17.12.24	Albacete Balompié - Levante	0:0 ✺
14.12.24	Levante - Córdoba	2:2 ✺
06.12.24	Mirandés - Levante	2:1 ✺
01.12.24	Levante - Burgos	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 TTTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
27.01.24	Levante - Tenerife	0:0
21.10.23	Tenerife - Levante	0:0
06.05.23	Tenerife - Levante	1:0
27.08.22	Levante - Tenerife	2:0
20.05.17	Tenerife - Levante	0:0
10.12.16	Levante - Tenerife	1:0

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