Match Info

SPAIN: Copa del Rey - 1/16-finals

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Martinez J. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Tenerife		Osasuna

	1	X	2
	4.1	3.2	2	Watch
	4.1	3.2	2
	4	3.3	2.05	Watch
	4.02	3.23	1.95	Watch
	3.8	3.1	2	Watch
	3.96	3.25	2.05
	4	3.3	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	4 ↓ (4.43)	3.23 ↓ (3.51)	2.01 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
23.7%

Draw
29.3%

Osasuna
47%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.2%

26.7%

52.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20.8%

26.1%

53.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Osasuna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Osasuna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osasuna than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Osasuna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Tenerife - Osasuna Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Osasuna will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Osasuna: 15.4% – 84.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Badia E. (G) 2. Rodriguez D. 5. Gonzalez S. 4. Leon J. 3. Medrano F. 33. Martin Luis A. 15. Bodiger Y. 17. Rubio W. 21. Teto A. 19. Cantero A. 18. Enric (C)	13. Fernandez A. (G) 12. Areso J. 22. Boyomo F. 5. Herrando J. 23. Bretones A. 6. Torro L. 7. Moncayola J. 15. Pena R. 10. Oroz A. 14. Garcia R. (C) 17. Budimir A.
Substitutes
12. Alves R. 11. Cruz Luismi 8. Diarra Y. 14. Guerrero A. 27. Manjam A. 22. Mellot J. 20. Mesa M. 10. Moreno M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 9. Rodriguez A. 16. Sanz A.	24. Catena A. 3. Cruz J. 9. Garcia R. 4. Garcia U. 16. Gomez M. 1. Herrera S. (G) 8. Ibanez P. 21. Martinez J. 18. Munoz I. 32. Stamatakis D. (G) 2. Vidal N.
Coaches
Cervera A.	Moreno V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, Herrando J. ⚽,
25', 0 - 2, Leon J. (Own goal),
43', Moncayola J. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Leon J. ⚽, Bodiger Y. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Cantero A. ↓, Moreno M. ↑,
46', Rubio W. ↓, Manjam A. ↑,
48', Boyomo F. 🟨,
56', Moreno M. 🟨,
64', Martin Luis A. ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
66', Pena R. ↓, Vidal N. ↑,
74', Teto A. ↓, Diarra Y. ↑,
74', Medrano F. ↓, Alves R. ↑,
78', Areso J. ↓, Munoz I. ↑,
80', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
85', Bodiger Y. 🟨,
90+1', Manjam A. 🟨,
90+2', Budimir A. 🟨,
90+3', Budimir A. ↓, Garcia R. ↑,
90+3', Moncayola J. ↓, Cruz J. ↑,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2.

Tenerife is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Osasuna is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Tenerife have a series of guest games.

Osasuna will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12:11 (average 1.3:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
22.12.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
19.12.24	Huesca - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
08.12.24	Córdoba - Tenerife	3:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.12.24	Zamora - Tenerife	0:1 penalties ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
30.11.24	Tenerife - Elche	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLLWT
- Osasuna
Spanish LaLiga
21.12.24	Osasuna - Athletic Bilbao	1:2 ✺
14.12.24	Espanyol - Osasuna	0:0 ✺
08.12.24	Osasuna - Deportivo Alavés	2:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
05.12.24	Ceuta - Osasuna	2:3 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
02.12.24	Sevilla - Osasuna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
22.03.19	Tenerife - Osasuna	3:2
17.11.18	Osasuna - Tenerife	2:0
01.04.18	Osasuna - Tenerife	0:1
29.10.17	Tenerife - Osasuna	0:0
26.03.16	Osasuna - Tenerife	0:0
25.10.15	Tenerife - Osasuna	2:2
22.03.15	Tenerife - Osasuna	2:1

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