Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 13

Date: 3 November 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	Sky Sport
North-central-america	Sky Sports Norte
South-america	DGO Latin America
Spain	DAZN Espana, Gol Stadium, LaLiga Hypermotion, Movistar Plus+ 1
Venezuela	Inter
World	DirecTV Sports


	Tenerife		Mirandés

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.75	4	Watch
	2.2	2.55	3.9
	2.25	2.65	4	Watch
	2.31	2.64	4.5
	2.27	2.63	4.34	Watch
	2.27	2.65	4.28	Watch
	2.25	2.65	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.05)	2.65 ↓ (2.93)	4.15 ↓ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.50

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.7%

Draw
35.6%

Mirandés
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.8%

32%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.1%

34.3%

20.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

Mirandés has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+7.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mirandés than the current prediction. (-2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
45.8%	29.2%	25%

Tenerife - Mirandés Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 11 - 45.8%). Mirandés will win (votes: 6 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 29.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 25.9% – 65.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Carrasco S. (G) 22. Mellot J. 24. Gaya J. 12. Alves R. 4. Leon J. 3. Medrano F. 33. Martin Luis A. 5. Gonzalez S. 8. Diarra Y. 11. Cruz Luismi 18. Enric (C)	13. Fernandez R. (G) 22. Gutierrez J. 4. Egiluz U. 15. Tomeo P. 2. Rincon Lumbreras H. 10. Reina A. 6. Gorrotxategi J. 19. Lachuer M. 3. Alonso J. 17. Izeta 9. Panichelli J.
Substitutes
15. Bodiger Y. 26. Gonzalez E. 14. Guerrero A. 27. Manjam A. 20. Mesa M. 13. Nadal T. (G) 31. Perez A. 37. Pezzolesi M. 2. Rodriguez D. 17. Rubio W. 34. Senhadji Y. 21. Teto A.	26. Bassinga A. 28. Dadie Izagirre A. 33. Gonzalez V. P. 8. Homenchenko S. 1. Lopez L. (G) 20. Martin A. 27. Roca J.
Coaches
Mel P.	Lisci A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Rincon Lumbreras H. 🟨,
29', 1 - 0, Alves R. ⚽, Diarra Y. (A),
32', Lachuer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Egiluz U. 🟨,
58', Lachuer M. ↓, Roca J. ↑,
59', Egiluz U. ↓, Gonzalez V. P. ↑,
71', Enric ↓, Senhadji Y. ↑,
71', Martin Luis A. ↓, Teto A. ↑,
73', Rincon Lumbreras H. ↓, Dadie Izagirre A. ↑,
73', Reina A. ↓, Homenchenko S. ↑,
75', Alonso J. ↓, Martin A. ↑,
79', Alves R. ↓, Perez A. ↑,
90+4', Cruz Luismi ↓, Mesa M. ↑,
90+4', Medrano F. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
90+6', Diarra Y. 🟨,
90+7', Dadie Izagirre A. 🟥,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 21 in the zone Relegation and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Mirandés could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tenerife will have a mini benefit in this match.

There will not play in Tenerife: Jose Amo (Knee Injury)

Last 18 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 24:18 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 6 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 17:7 (average 1.9:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish Copa del Rey
31.10.24	Alfaro - Tenerife	0:2 ET ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
28.10.24	Ferrol - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
24.10.24	Tenerife - Málaga	0:0 ✺
19.10.24	Granada - Tenerife	4:0 ✺
11.10.24	Tenerife - Zaragoza	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 WTTLL
- CD Mirandés
Spanish Copa del Rey
30.10.24	Sant Andreu - Mirandés	2:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga2
26.10.24	Mirandés - Cartagena	3:1 ✺
22.10.24	Real Oviedo - Mirandés	4:1 ✺
19.10.24	Mirandés - Eibar	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Burgos - Mirandés	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.2 LWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
03.03.24	Tenerife - Mirandés	2:1
14.10.23	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:1
18.02.23	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:0
02.11.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	1:0
26.02.22	Mirandés - Tenerife	2:1
19.09.21	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:2
21.04.21	Mirandés - Tenerife	0:0

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