Match Info

Date: 10 October 2020, Saturday


	Tenerife		Rayo Vallecano

	1	X	2
	2.87	2.9	2.6	Watch
	2.85	2.85	2.7
	2.95	2.85	2.7	Watch
	2.85	2.9	2.6
	3	2.98	2.79
	2.8	2.8	2.8	Watch
	2.94	2.97	2.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.89 ↑ (2.88)	2.89 ↑ (2.86)	2.7 ↓ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
32.5%

Draw
32.5%

Rayo Vallecano
34.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.7%

33%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

23.1%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Rayo Vallecano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rayo Vallecano than the current prediction. (+14%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rayo Vallecano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
31.1%	20%	48.9%

Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 14 - 31.1%). Rayo Vallecano will win (votes: 22 - 48.9%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rayo Vallecano: 34.3% – 63.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Tenerife has a chance of relegated (26%), has a small chance of prom. playoffs (11%), has a very small chance of promoted (5%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Rayo Vallecano has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (37%), has a chance of promoted (29%), has a small chance of win league (6%).

Tenerife is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Rayo Vallecano is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Mallorca - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
27.09.20	Tenerife - Mirandés	1:2 ✺
19.09.20	Alcorcón - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
13.09.20	Tenerife - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.09.20	Tenerife - Las Palmas	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.8 LLLWL
- Rayo Vallecano
Spanish LaLiga2
03.10.20	Rayo Vallecano - Málaga	4:0 ✺
27.09.20	Ponferradina - Rayo Vallecano	3:0 ✺
19.09.20	Rayo Vallecano - Sabadell	2:1 ✺
13.09.20	Mallorca - Rayo Vallecano	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.09.20	Leganés - Rayo Vallecano	0:1
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
16.02.20	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	0:0
11.10.19	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	2:1
29.04.18	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	3:1
24.11.17	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	2:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
06.09.17	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	0:3
Spanish LaLiga2
08.04.17	Rayo Vallecano - Tenerife	1:1
29.10.16	Tenerife - Rayo Vallecano	3:2

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