Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 42

Date: 2 June 2024, Sunday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: Barrera R. (Esp)


	Tenerife		Valladolid

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.35	2.9	3
	2.5	3	2.95	Watch
	2.58	3.1	3.07
	2.49	3.1	3.07
	2.38	3.2	2.9
	2.48	3.15	3.02	Watch
	2.48	3.05	2.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↓ (4.01)	3.08 ↓ (3.23)	2.98 ↑ (1.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
38%

Draw
30.5%

Valladolid
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

29.1%

47.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.9%

28.4%

48.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tenerife's performance.

Valladolid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Valladolid might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (-15.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tenerife that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Valladolid than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Valladolid could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.8%	10.3%	17.9%

Tenerife - Valladolid Predictions

Users Predictions: 77 users predict this event. Tenerife will win (votes: 56 - 72.7%). Valladolid will win (votes: 13 - 16.9%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 10.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tenerife: 62.7% – 82.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nadal T. (G) 22. Mellot J. 6. Jose Amo 4. Leon J. 24. Nacho 27. Cruz Luismi 15. Bodiger Y. 10. Corredera A. 21. Teto A. 14. Lopez R. 18. Enric (C)	1. Masip J. (G) 2. Perez L. 5. Sanchez J. 3. Torres D. 18. Escudero S. 4. Meseguer Cavas V. A. 12. Lucas Oliveira 8. Monchu 11. Moro R. 7. Sylla M. 21. Negredo A.
Substitutes
43. Aaron 2. Bunuel A. 37. Cacho 39. Fernandez D. 8. Javi Alonso 40. Padilla S. (G) 26. Perera D. 9. Rodriguez A. 23. Sipcic N. 1. Soriano J. (G) 31. Williams L.	23. Anuar 39. Arnuncio A. 17. Biuk S. 16. de la Hoz C. 20. Juric S. 31. Rafus A. (G) 22. Rosa L. 38. Salazar I. P. 34. Tarrega C.
Coaches
Garitano A.	Pezzolano P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Meseguer Cavas V. A. ↓, de la Hoz C. ↑,
46', Escudero S. ↓, Rosa L. ↑,
52', 1 - 0, Cruz Luismi ⚽, Bodiger Y. (A),
54', Rosa L. 🟨,
54', Cruz Luismi 🟨,
59', Lopez R. ↓, Perera D. ↑,
62', Negredo A. ↓, Salazar I. P. ↑,
68', 1 - 1, Jose Amo (Own goal),
70', Sanchez J. ↓, Juric S. ↑,
71', Enric ↓, Rodriguez A. ↑,
71', Nadal T. ↓, Soriano J. ↑,
72', Teto A. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
79', 2 - 1, Rodriguez A. ⚽, Perera D. (A),
80', Rodriguez A. 🟨,
83', Mellot J. ↓, Bunuel A. ↑,
85', Lucas Oliveira ↓, Arnuncio A. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy watching a meeting between a mid-table team and a leading team (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Valladolid is Qualified for LaLiga

Last 5 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 2.

Recent matches Tenerife is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Valladolid is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Valladolid could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 14-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Burgos - Tenerife	1:1 ✺
18.05.24	Tenerife - Amorebieta	0:1 ✺
12.05.24	Cartagena - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Tenerife - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.4 TLLWW
- Real Valladolid
Spanish LaLiga2
26.05.24	Valladolid - Villarreal B	3:2 ✺
19.05.24	Alcorcón - Valladolid	1:1 ✺
11.05.24	Valladolid - Espanyol	0:0 ✺
04.05.24	Mirandés - Valladolid	0:1 ✺
28.04.24	Valladolid - Huesca	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WTTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
04.11.23	Valladolid - Tenerife	2:0
05.03.22	Tenerife - Valladolid	1:4
12.09.21	Valladolid - Tenerife	0:2
Spanish Copa del Rey
22.01.20	Tenerife - Valladolid	2:1
Spanish LaLiga2
28.01.18	Tenerife - Valladolid	0:0
03.09.17	Valladolid - Tenerife	2:0
12.02.17	Valladolid - Tenerife	0:0

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