Match Info

SPAIN: LaLiga2 - Round 40

Date: 18 May 2024, Saturday

Location: Estadio Heliodoro Rodríguez López (Santa Cruz de Tenerife)

Referee: De La Fuente Ramos O. (Esp)


	Tenerife		Amorebieta

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	3.3	Watch
	2.1	3	3.4
	2.2	3.1	3.4	Watch
	2.41	3.15	3.32
	2.4	3.16	3.34
	2.23	3.18	3.47	Watch
	2.22	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (1.93)	3.11 ↓ (3.15)	3.37 ↓ (4.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tenerife
41.7%

Draw
30.3%

Amorebieta
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.2%

30.1%

20.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4%

30%

20.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tenerife has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tenerife's form might have worsened.

Amorebieta has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Amorebieta's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tenerife than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tenerife, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amorebieta than the current prediction. (-7.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Amorebieta, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Tenerife - Amorebieta Predictions

Users Predictions: Tenerife will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Nadal T. (G) 2. Bunuel A. 6. Jose Amo 4. Leon J. 24. Nacho 27. Cruz Luismi 16. Sanz A. (C) 15. Bodiger Y. 21. Teto A. 9. Rodriguez A. 18. Enric	13. Magunagoitia J. (C) 15. Nunez A. 5. Bustinza U. 24. Gaya J. 16. Lasure D. 7. Dorrio J. 8. Moran E. 20. Sibo K. 22. Morcillo J. 9. Jauregi E. 23. Unzueta I.
Substitutes
36. Alvarez C. 37. Cacho 10. Corredera A. 29. Gonzalez E. 5. Gonzalez S. 8. Javi Alonso 14. Lopez R. 33. Otero M. 23. Sipcic N. 1. Soriano J. (G) 31. Williams L.	21. Carbonell A. 30. Cunat P. (G) 10. Edwards R. 14. Eraso J. 3. Etxeita X. 19. Locadia J. 1. Marino U. (G) 2. Mier J. 17. Rodriguez R. 11. Seguin I. 6. Yriarte J.
Coaches
Garitano A.	Jandro

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Bustinza U. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
50', 0 - 1, Unzueta I. ⚽,
59', Soriano J. 🟨,
66', Enric ↓, Lopez R. ↑,
66', Teto A. ↓, Cacho ↑,
68', Moran E. ↓, Yriarte J. ↑,
73', Jose Amo ↓, Gonzalez S. ↑,
73', Bodiger Y. ↓, Javi Alonso ↑,
81', Cruz Luismi ↓, Gonzalez E. ↑,
82', Unzueta I. ↓, Mier J. ↑,
87', Dorrio J. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
87', Morcillo J. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 and 20 in the zone Relegation).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Tenerife will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Including matches at home between the teams Tenerife won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Tenerife
Spanish LaLiga2
12.05.24	Cartagena - Tenerife	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Tenerife - Ferrol	2:0 ✺
28.04.24	Real Oviedo - Tenerife	0:1 ✺
19.04.24	Tenerife - Leganés	0:0 ✺
14.04.24	Albacete Balompié - Tenerife	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.3 LWWTL
- SD Amorebieta
Spanish LaLiga2
12.05.24	Amorebieta - Villarreal B	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Eibar - Amorebieta	5:0 ✺
27.04.24	Burgos - Amorebieta	2:2 ✺
20.04.24	Amorebieta - Valladolid	0:3 ✺
13.04.24	Levante - Amorebieta	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
18.11.23	Amorebieta - Tenerife	2:0
07.01.22	Amorebieta - Tenerife	1:1
10.10.21	Tenerife - Amorebieta	2:1

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