Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Apertura - Round 1

Date: 24 July 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Alacranes de Durango

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.80	3.20	3.90
	1.92	3.15	3.9
	2.03	3.47	3.92
	1.88	3.36	4.25	Watch
	1.98	3.5	3.65
	1.95	3.26	4	Watch
	1.93	3.25	3.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.08)	3.31 ↑ (3.3)	3.9 ↑ (3.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
48.2%

Draw
28%

Alacranes de Durango
23.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.3%

27.9%

27.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Alacranes de Durango has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	0%	22.2%

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Tepatitlán will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Alacranes de Durango will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tepatitlán: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Tepatitlán (votes: 2 - 50%). Alacranes de Durango (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Estrada A. (G) 6. Baez G. 19. Castaneda S. 23. Godinez J. 17. Gonzalez S. 34. Henestrosa J. 25. Moreno A. 20. Ortega E. 12. Rodriguez S. (C) 22. Sanguinetti F. 21. Zavala M.	33. Pelaez A. (G) 16. Dominguez R. 34. Garcia A. 3. Gonzalez J. (C) 7. Gutierrez L. 14. Lorona L. 8. Montano T. 4. Munoz J. 21. Oteo D. 17. Reyes Olguin J. I. 28. Torres J.
Substitutes
4. Alonso R. 32. Arevalo T. 27. Avila H. 31. Casas B. 30. Gatica A. (G) 28. Lopez M. 18. Martinez E. 11. Olvera G. 14. Rios J. 24. Valencia V.	27. Angulo J. 5. Cantu E. 22. Castillo I. 20. Castillo J. 11. Morales L. 26. Munoz B. 1. Munoz J. (G) 13. Ontiveros A. 9. Ramirez J. S. 23. Siqueiros C.
Coaches
Bartolotta D.	Real H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
8', Dominguez R. 🟨,
23', Montano T. 🟨,
44', Torres J. 🟨,
45+1', Sanguinetti F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Montano T. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
46', Sanguinetti F. ↓, Martinez E. ↑,
56', Gutierrez L. ↓, Cantu E. ↑,
57', 0 - 1, Torres J. ⚽,
63', Moreno A. ↓, Arevalo T. ↑,
63', Henestrosa J. ↓, Olvera G. ↑,
68', Godinez J. ↓, Casas B. ↑,
71', Reyes Olguin J. I. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
71', Lorona L. ↓, Morales L. ↑,
79', Torres J. ↓, Munoz B. ↑,
82', Gonzalez S. ↓, Avila H. ↑,

Preview

In this match, Tepatitlán is seen as the favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0. (average 0:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Alacranes de Durango	11	5	2	4	11:11	0	17
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	10	2	0	8	8:29	-21	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.05.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	4:3 penalties ✺
23.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	3:1 ✺
16.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Jaiba Brava	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Mineros de Zacatecas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTT
- Alacranes de Durango
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
09.05.26	Alacranes de Durango - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
06.05.26	Deportiva Venados - Alacranes de Durango	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Alacranes de Durango - Halcones	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Halcones - Alacranes de Durango	0:0 ✺
25.04.26	Alacranes de Durango - Zacatepec Siglo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 TLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
18.01.23	Alacranes de Durango - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:2
28.07.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.02.20	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Alacranes de Durango	0:0
27.09.19	Alacranes de Durango - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:2

Upcoming Matches