The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tepatitlán de Morelos 20.3%
Draw 21.6%
Atlético Morelia 58%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
23.3%
21.7%
55%
Our Initial ML Estimation
22.8%
21.2%
56.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tepatitlán de Morelos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Atlético Morelia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tepatitlán de Morelos than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Morelia than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
0%
Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlético Morelia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A high-stakes clash as a relegation-threatened team welcomes an elite contender (ranked 16th and 2nd in the Promotion - Liga de Expansion MX (Apertura - Playoffs - Quarter - finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.
Recent results have been tough for Tepatitlán (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Atlético Morelia shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Tepatitlán could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
In this matchup, Atlético Morelia is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Tepatitlán has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:18 (averaging 1.8:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Tepatitlán against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 13:5 goals (averaging 2.2:0.8 per game).
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