Match Info

Liga de Expansion MX - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 6 February 2026, Friday

Location: Estadio Gregorio "Tepa" Gómez (Tepatitlán)

Where to Watch on TV:


Mexico	AYM Sports


	Tepatitlán de Morelos		Correcaminos UAT

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.37	4.65	6.9
	1.37	5.05	7.62
	1.38	4.92	7.33	Watch
	1.33	4.5	7.5
	1.35	4.6	7.06	Watch
	1.32	4.75	7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.47)	4.75 ↑ (4.24)	7.24 ↑ (5.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tepatitlán de Morelos
67.9%

Draw
19.4%

Correcaminos UAT
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.3%

21.5%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tepatitlán de Morelos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tepatitlán de Morelos's performance.

Correcaminos UAT has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Gutierrez G. (C) 22. Aguilar D. 24. Cardona U. 26. Dominguez I. 10. Guzman W. 19. Islas O. 29. Mendoza B. 2. Pinela M. 6. Ruiz A. 20. Samano L. 23. Venegas J.	24. Resendez E. (G) 19. Catalan A. 7. Cisneros D. (C) 22. Di Pippa A. 23. Galindo J. 12. Gomez Del Rosal N. 6. Martinez J. 2. Ortega W. 21. Prieto R. 32. Sandoval T. 25. Torres E.
Substitutes
136. Andrade B. 145. Gomez G. 18. Gomez J. 12. Gonzalez C. (G) 13. Gonzalez Calderon L. A. 8. Montano T. 21. Moreno Villegas J. A. 152. Ramos D. 11. Reyes J. 30. Talavera J.	88. Aguilar A. 106. Aguilar S. 104. Arce R. 1. Castellanos R. (G) 9. Delgadillo Y. 33. Mina D. 5. Monarrez A. 3. Rubio R. 14. Sosa C. 11. Uribe H.
Coaches
Pereyra G.	Diaz G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
3', 0 - 1, Gomez Del Rosal N. ⚽, Catalan A. (A),
12', 1 - 1, Guzman W. ⚽, Islas O. (A),
36', Prieto R. 🟨,
41', Islas O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Venegas J. 🟨,
55', Sandoval T. 🟨,
62', Prieto R. ↓, Sosa C. ↑,
65', Catalan A. 🟨,
65', Aguilar D. ↓, Reyes J. ↑,
65', Dominguez I. ↓, Gomez J. ↑,
67', Ruiz A. 🟨,
67', Torres E. 🟨,
71', Mendoza B. (Penalty Awarded),
73', Cisneros D. 🟨,
74', Gutierrez G. 🟨,
76', 2 - 1, Di Pippa A. (Own goal),
79', Islas O. ↓, Moreno Villegas J. A. ↑,
81', Gomez Del Rosal N. ↓, Delgadillo Y. ↑,
81', Sandoval T. ↓, Mina D. ↑,
83', Mendoza B. ↓, Samano Salgado F. ↑,
90', Ortega W. ↓, Uribe H. ↑,
90+6', Guzman W. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga de Expansion MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 3.

In this match, Tepatitlán is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Tepatitlán won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 20:13. (average 1.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Tepatitlán won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 13:2. (average 2.6:0.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Correcaminos	11	4	4	3	19:18	1	16
16	Tepatitlan de Morelos	10	2	0	8	8:29	-21	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tepatitlán de Morelos
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.26	Dorados - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:0 ✺
23.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Tapatío	2:0 ✺
18.01.26	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	0:1 ✺
10.01.26	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Atlante	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Jaiba Brava - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 TWWTL
- Correcaminos UAT
Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
30.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Tlaxcala	2:1 ✺
25.01.26	Leones Negros UdeG - Correcaminos UAT	0:0 ✺
16.01.26	Correcaminos UAT - Atlético La Paz	0:3 ✺
10.01.26	Atlético Morelia - Correcaminos UAT	3:0 ✺
07.11.25	Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 WTLLT

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga de Expansion MX
29.08.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	1:4
06.03.25	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1
20.09.24	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT	6:0
06.03.24	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:0
13.09.23	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT	2:1
14.03.23	Correcaminos UAT - Tepatitlán de Morelos	2:1
18.08.22	Tepatitlán de Morelos - Correcaminos UAT	3:0

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