The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Alebrijes de Oaxaca 24.3%
Draw 23.7%
Correcaminos UAT 52%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
36.8%
26.8%
36.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.9%
26%
35.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Alebrijes de Oaxaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alebrijes de Oaxaca's form might have worsened.
Correcaminos UAT has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Correcaminos UAT's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alebrijes de Oaxaca than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alebrijes de Oaxaca, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Correcaminos UAT than the current prediction. (-16.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Correcaminos UAT, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
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Alebrijes de Oaxaca - Correcaminos UAT Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 14th and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Alebrijes de Oaxaca won 3.
Alebrijes de Oaxaca is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Correcaminos has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Correcaminos holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Alebrijes de Oaxaca has recorded 10 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 33:26 (averaging 1.7:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Alebrijes de Oaxaca against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 loss, with 16:7 goals (averaging 1.6:0.7 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
9
Correcaminos
11
4
4
3
19:18
1
16
14
Alebrijes Oaxaca
11
3
1
7
8:22
-14
10
Last Results with these Odds
Alebrijes de Oaxaca - the odds 2.52 are the expected chance of winning is 36.8%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.