Match Info

Division 1 - Round 34

Date: 25 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Raczkowski P. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Termalica Nieciecza		Kotwica Kołobrzeg

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.9	5
	1.57	4.1	4.6
	1.52	4.5	5.2	Watch
	1.54	4.34	4.74
	1.58	4.33	4.96	Watch
	1.57	3.9	4.8
	1.54	4.33	4.97
	1.52	4.5	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.53)	4.24 ↓ (4.65)	4.93 ↓ (5.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
59.6%

Draw
21.7%

Kotwica Kołobrzeg
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

20.3%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5%

19.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kotwica Kołobrzeg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kołobrzeg than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Termalica Nieciecza - Kotwica Kołobrzeg Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 6 - 75%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 45% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Kotwica Kołobrzeg (1.83) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Kotwica Kołobrzeg (2.32) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Kotwica Kołobrzeg will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Termalica (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Kotwica Kołobrzeg (votes: 6 - 85.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 2. Kopacz B. 77. Putivtsev A. 6. Wolski M. 13. Kubica K. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 21. Hilbrycht D. 7. Fassbender M. 25. Zapolnik K. 86. Strzalek I.	88. Koziol M. (G) 45. Favorov D. 27. Welna T. 10. Cywinski M. 15. Kurowski M. 8. Ramos L. 6. Kort K. 32. Musolitin M. 29. Perez J. 9. Kozlowski F. 16. Sadovski U.
Substitutes
39. Biniek D. 29. Isik G. 10. Karasek K. 5. Matyjewicz W. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 53. Trubeha A. 12. Wrobel J. 17. Zaviyskyi T.	28. Cucos C. 22. Kostevych V. 1. Krzepisz K. (G) 19. Lasek M. 7. Nawate Y. 83. Trojnarski A. 17. Zietek L.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Tworek P.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
44', 1 - 0, Kasperkiewicz A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', Kubica K. ↓, Biniek D. ↑,
56', Fassbender M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
69', Kurowski M. ↓, Zietek L. ↑,
69', Kort K. ↓, Kostevych V. ↑,
69', Zietek L. 🟨,
73', Strzalek I. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
73', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Isik G. ↑,
77', Ramos L. 🟨,
84', 1 - 1, Cywinski M. ⚽,
86', Ramos L. 🟨,
88', Kozlowski F. ↓, Nawate Y. ↑,
90', 2 - 1, Trubeha A. ⚽, Zapolnik K. (A),
90+1', Trubeha A. 🟨,
90+2', Musolitin M. 🟨,
90+2', Perez J. 🟨,
90+4', Kasperkiewicz A. 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ekstraklasa and 15).

Termalica is Qualified for Ekstraklasa

Termalica is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Kotwica Kołobrzeg has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kotwica Kołobrzeg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Termalica is the team to beat.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Termalica won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:4. (average 5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
19.05.25	Miedź Legnica - Termalica Nieciecza	1:4 ✺
11.05.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Górnik Łęczna	3:1 ✺
04.05.25	Arka Gdynia - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
25.04.25	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	2:2 ✺
21.04.25	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWLTW
- FC Kotwica Kołobrzeg
Polish Division 1
17.05.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Pogoń Siedlce	1:1 ✺
11.05.25	Odra Opole - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	4:2 ✺
05.05.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Chrobry Głogów	2:1 ✺
26.04.25	Warta Poznań - Kotwica Kołobrzeg	0:1 ✺
22.04.25	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Ruch Chorzów	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
22.11.24	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Termalica Nieciecza	0:5
Polish Cup
28.09.23	Kotwica Kołobrzeg - Termalica Nieciecza	4:5 penalties

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