Match Info

POLAND: DIVISION 1 - ROUND 32

Date: 20 May 2023, Saturday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)


	Termalica Nieciecza		Sandecja Nowy Sącz

	1	X	2
	1.44	4	6.5
	1.46	3.9	6.5
	1.48	4.1	5.7
	1.45	4.51	7.19
	1.44	3.75	6.5
	1.46	4.2	6.55
	1.48	4.2	6.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.46 ↓ (1.61)	4.09 ↑ (3.72)	6.45 ↑ (5.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
63.2%

Draw
22.5%

Sandecja Nowy Sącz
14.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

24.7%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

24.3%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Termalica Nieciecza's performance.

Sandecja Nowy Sącz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Termalica Nieciecza that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sandecja Nowy Sącz than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	25%	12.5%

Termalica Nieciecza - Sandecja Nowy Sącz Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Sandecja will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Termalica won 1.

Recent matches Termalica is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sandecja is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Sandecja could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Termalica is a favorite.

Last 18 head-to-head matches Termalica won 6 matches, drawn 9 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-15.

Including matches at home between the teams Termalica won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 15-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
12.05.23	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
08.05.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Zagłębie Sosnowiec	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Podbeskidzie Bielsko-Biała - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2 ✺
23.04.23	Górnik Łęczna - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1 ✺
16.04.23	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LWTLT
- Sandecja Nowy Sącz
Polish Division 1
14.05.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - ŁKS Łódź	1:0 ✺
05.05.23	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:0 ✺
30.04.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Ruch Chorzów	0:1 ✺
24.04.23	Stal Rzeszów - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0 ✺
17.04.23	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Puszcza Niepołomice	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
22.10.22	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Termalica Nieciecza	1:1
Club Friendly
08.07.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	0:0
Polish Division 1
05.03.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	2:2
05.09.20	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1
16.11.19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Termalica Nieciecza	2:2
27.07.19	Termalica Nieciecza - Sandecja Nowy Sącz	3:0
02.03.19	Sandecja Nowy Sącz - Termalica Nieciecza	0:0

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