Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 13

Date: 18 October 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Miejski im. Henryka Reymana (Kraków)

Referee: Arys K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app, TVP Sport


	Wisła Kraków		Termalica Nieciecza

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.8	3.7	Watch
	1.83	3.6	3.6
	1.87	3.75	3.75	Watch
	1.86	4.02	3.72
	1.85	3.9	3.75
	1.83	3.7	3.4
	1.86	3.74	3.6	Watch
	1.87	3.75	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↓ (1.98)	3.78 ↑ (3.63)	3.66 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wisła Kraków
50.1%

Draw
24.5%

Termalica Nieciecza
25.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47%

25.6%

27.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

24.8%

26.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wisła Kraków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wisła Kraków than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.1%	44.4%	44.4%

Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Wisła will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). Termalica will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Termalica: 11.9% – 76.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
28. Letkiewicz P. (G) 17. Alfaro J. 8. Carbo M. 12. Igbekeme J. 25. Jaroch B. 13. Kiss T. 26. Lasicki I. 4. Mikulec R. 9. Rodado A. 6. Uryga A. (C) 99. Zwolinski L.	1. Chovan A. (G) 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 29. Isik G. 10. Karasek K. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 77. Putivtsev A. 86. Strzalek I. 6. Wolski M. 25. Zapolnik K.
Substitutes
10. Almeida Duarte F. F. P. 77. Baena Perez A. 31. Chichkan A. (G) 20. Dziedzic K. 21. Gogol P. 30. Kiakos G. 50. Kutwa M. 75. Skrobanski K. 19. Sukiennicki O.	18. Farbiszewski B. 7. Fassbender M. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 16. Planeta T. 80. Rozycki J. 13. Waclawek B. 12. Wrobel J. 17. Zaviyskyi T.
Coaches
Jop M.	Brosz M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Karasek K. ↓, Fassbender M. ↑,
46', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zaviyskyi T. ↑,
64', Putivtsev A. 🟨,
70', Alfaro J. ↓, Baena Perez A. ↑,
78', 1 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Baena Perez A. (A),
81', Kiss T. ↓, Almeida Duarte F. F. P. ↑,
85', Strzalek I. ↓, Rozycki J. ↑,
85', Ambrosiewicz M. ↓, Wrobel J. ↑,
85', Wolski M. ↓, Waclawek B. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 0, Zwolinski L. ⚽, Baena Perez A. (A),
90+5', Zwolinski L. ↓, Gogol P. ↑,
90+5', Igbekeme J. ↓, Kutwa M. ↑,
90+7', Lasicki I. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Wisła Kraków
Polish Cup
12.10.24	Siarka Tarnobrzeg - Wisła Kraków	2:3 ✺
Polish Division 1
05.10.24	Pogoń Siedlce - Wisła Kraków	1:3 ✺
27.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Odra Opole	5:0 ✺
17.09.24	ŁKS Łódź - Wisła Kraków	3:1 ✺
13.09.24	Wisła Kraków - Warta Poznań	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 WWWLL
- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
06.10.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
26.05.24	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	0:3
01.12.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	2:1
12.05.23	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1
15.10.22	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	0:0
Polish Ekstraklasa
17.12.21	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	3:0
31.07.21	Termalica Nieciecza - Wisła Kraków	2:2
Club Friendly
23.01.21	Wisła Kraków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1

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