Match Info

POLAND: Division 1 - Round 12

Date: 6 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Termalica Bruk-Bet Nieciecza (Nieciecza)

Referee: Wajda T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	sport.tvp.pl, TVP Sport app


	Termalica Nieciecza		Znicz Pruszków

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.9	4.5
	1.57	4	5.5	Watch
	1.57	4.07	5.66
	1.61	3.96	5.26	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5.5
	1.58	3.94	5.12	Watch
	1.57	4	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.5)	3.97 ↑ (3.95)	5.29 ↓ (6.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Termalica Nieciecza
59.1%

Draw
23.4%

Znicz Pruszków
17.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

23.5%

14.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.1%

22.7%

14.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Termalica Nieciecza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Znicz Pruszków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Termalica Nieciecza than the current prediction. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Znicz Pruszków than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Termalica will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Znicz will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Chovan A. (G) 29. Isik G. 23. Spendlhofer L. 77. Putivtsev A. 21. Hilbrycht D. 22. Mrosek N. 28. Ambrosiewicz M. 8. Dombrovskiy A. 6. Wolski M. 7. Fassbender M. 25. Zapolnik K.	12. Misztal P. (G) 14. Okhronchuk V. 26. Kendzia F. 99. Koprowski O. 7. Sokol D. 10. Ciepiela B. 30. Nowak W. 13. Imai K. 11. Moskwik P. 21. Stanclik D. 9. Majewski R.
Substitutes
10. Karasek K. 3. Kasperkiewicz A. 99. Mleczko M. (G) 90. Nowakowski J. 80. Rozycki J. 86. Strzalek I. 53. Trubeha A. 12. Wrobel J. 17. Zaviyskyi T.	27. Flisiuk K. 19. Karol M. 17. Kazimierczak A. 1. Klebaniuk B. (G) 20. Olejarka D. 8. Proczek T. 22. Tabara K. 5. Yukhymovych D.
Coaches
Brosz M.	Szoka G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
19', 1 - 0, Fassbender M. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Sokol D. ⚽, Nowak W. (A),
44', 1 - 2, Stanclik D. ⚽, Ciepiela B. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Dombrovskiy A. ↓, Trubeha A. ↑,
59', Mrosek N. ↓, Strzalek I. ↑,
59', Fassbender M. ↓, Karasek K. ↑,
69', Ciepiela B. ↓, Olejarka D. ↑,
71', Hilbrycht D. ↓, Zaviyskyi T. ↑,
72', Sokol D. 🟨,
83', Moskwik P. ↓, Proczek T. ↑,
83', Majewski R. ↓, Yukhymovych D. ↑,
83', Spendlhofer L. ↓, Wrobel J. ↑,
85', Trubeha A. 🟨,
90+1', Stanclik D. ↓, Tabara K. ↑,

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Znicz could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Termalica is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Termalica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:4 (average 0.7:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Termalica won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Termalica Nieciecza
Polish Division 1
29.09.24	Polonia Warsaw - Termalica Nieciecza	0:1 ✺
Polish Cup
24.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - GKS Katowice	1:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
21.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - ŁKS Łódź	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Stal Rzeszów - Termalica Nieciecza	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
06.09.24	Termalica Nieciecza - Korona Kielce	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 WLTWL
- Znicz Pruszków
Polish Division 1
02.10.24	Odra Opole - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
28.09.24	Znicz Pruszków - Pogoń Siedlce	1:0 ✺
Polish Cup
25.09.24	Chojniczanka Chojnice - Znicz Pruszków	3:2 ✺
Polish Division 1
16.09.24	Znicz Pruszków - Chrobry Głogów	2:3 ✺
31.08.24	Warta Poznań - Znicz Pruszków	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 TWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 1
08.03.24	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:0
27.08.23	Termalica Nieciecza - Znicz Pruszków	1:0
Polish Cup
12.08.14	Znicz Pruszków - Termalica Nieciecza	2:1

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