Match Info

ITALY: Serie B - Play Out - Final

Date: 23 May 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Referee: La Penna F. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DirecTV
Bulgaria	Nova Sport
Italy	Sky Sport, Sky Sport Uno


	Ternana		Bari

	1	X	2
	2.8	2.88	2.8	Watch
	2.65	3.1	2.65
	2.65	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.82	3.15	2.84
	2.82	3.07	2.84
	2.7	3.1	2.6
	2.72	3.02	2.81	Watch
	2.7	2.9	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.54)	3.04 ↓ (3.4)	2.76 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
34.6%

Draw
31.1%

Bari
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.4%

28%

34.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.2%

28.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

Bari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bari than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
30.8%	65.4%	3.8%

Ternana - Bari Predictions

Users Predictions: 25 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 8 - 32%). Bari will win (votes: 1 - 4%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 64%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 45.2% – 82.8%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Iannarilli A. (G) 15. Casasola T. 6. Dalle Mura C. 44. Lucchesi L. 27. Favasuli C. 71. Luperini G. 72. Amatucci L. 16. Faticanti G. 79. Carboni F. 10. Pereiro G. 28. Di Stefano F.	38. Pissardo M. (G) 93. Dorval M. 6. Di Cesare V. 23. Vicari F. 31. Ricci G. 4. Maita M. 8. Benali A. 25. Pucino R. 17. Maiello R. 20. Sibilli G. 9. Nasti M.
Substitutes
2. Bonugli M. 8. de Boer K. 65. Dionisi F. 21. Ferrara C. 22. Franchi D. (G) 25. Labojko J. 94. N'Guessan A. C. 9. Raimondo A. 4. Sorensen F. 18. Vitali T. (G) 24. Viviani F. 3. Zoia R.	44. Acampora G. 11. Achik I. 28. Akpa-Chukwu H. 49. Aramu M. 10. Bellomo N. 22. Brenno (G) 32. Colangiuli V. 14. Lulic K. 5. Matino E. 77. Morachioli G. 47. Puscas G. 21. Zuzek Z.
Coaches
Breda R.	Giampaolo F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', Maita M. 🟨,
22', Maiello R. 🟨,
33', Di Cesare V. 🟨,
45', Dalle Mura C. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Di Cesare V. ⚽, Sibilli G. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Faticanti G. ↓, Raimondo A. ↑,
52', 0 - 2, Ricci G. ⚽, Nasti M. (A),
57', Carboni F. ↓, de Boer K. ↑,
57', Maiello R. ↓, Lulic K. ↑,
61', Nasti M. 🟨,
65', 0 - 3, Sibilli G. ⚽, Dorval M. (A),
69', Nasti M. ↓, Morachioli G. ↑,
73', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
77', Lucchesi L. ↓, Dionisi F. ↑,
78', Bellomo N. 🟥,
87', Sibilli G. ↓, Puscas G. ↑,
87', Maita M. ↓, Acampora G. ↑,
88', Dorval M. ↓, Matino E. ↑,
90', Acampora G. 🟨,
90+4', Luperini G. 🟨,
90+6', Dionisi F. 🟨,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 1-1.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternana won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Ternana won 6 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 21-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie B
16.05.24	Bari - Ternana	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	FeralpiSalò - Ternana	0:1 ✺
05.05.24	Ternana - Catanzaro	1:0 ✺
01.05.24	Südtirol-Alto Adige - Ternana	4:3 ✺
27.04.24	Ternana - Ascoli	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 TWWLL
- AS Bari
Italian Serie B
16.05.24	Bari - Ternana	1:1 ✺
10.05.24	Bari - Brescia	2:0 ✺
05.05.24	Cittadella - Bari	1:1 ✺
01.05.24	Bari - Parma	1:1 ✺
27.04.24	Nuova Cosenza - Bari	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
16.05.24	Bari - Ternana	1:1
13.01.24	Bari - Ternana	3:1
03.09.23	Ternana - Bari	0:0
19.03.23	Ternana - Bari	1:0
28.10.22	Bari - Ternana	0:0
Italian Serie C Group C
13.03.21	Ternana - Bari	2:1
15.11.20	Bari - Ternana	1:3

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