Match Info

Date: 17 February 2021, Wednesday


	Ternana		Catania

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.5	4.5
	1.7	3.4	4.4	Watch
	1.7	3.5	4.25
	1.7	3.2	4.7
	1.72	3.5	5.35
	1.78	3.4	4.5
	1.7	3.6	4.65	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.72)	3.44 ↓ (3.55)	4.62 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
53.5%

Draw
26.6%

Catania
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.3%

25.7%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

20.5%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Catania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+13.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ternana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Catania than the current prediction. (-3%)

Ternana - Catania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

The great teams are gonna meet at this game. The most expected match between two teams from the very top of the group (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion to Serie B and 5 in the zone Promotion to Serie C to Promotion to Play Offs).

Ternana in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Catania is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Catania could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Ternana is a favorite.

Catania is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Last 8 head-to-head matches Ternana won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternana won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
08.02.21	Ternana - Casertana	5:1 ✺
03.02.21	Palermo - Ternana	1:1 ✺
30.01.21	Ternana - Paganese	3:1 ✺
24.01.21	Viterbese - Ternana	0:1 ✺
17.01.21	Juve Stabia - Ternana	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 WTWWW
- Calcio Catania
Italian Serie C Group C
13.02.21	Catania - Virtus Francavilla	1:0 ✺
03.02.21	Juve Stabia - Catania	1:1 ✺
31.01.21	Catania - Monopoli	3:1 ✺
17.01.21	Catania - Foggia	2:1 ✺
10.01.21	Casertana - Catania	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
21.10.20	Catania - Ternana	1:3
Italian Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs
05.07.20	Ternana - Catania	1:1
Italian Serie C Group C
23.02.20	Catania - Ternana	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
13.02.20	Catania - Ternana	0:0
29.01.20	Ternana - Catania	2:0
Italian Serie C Group C
06.10.19	Ternana - Catania	3:2
Italian Serie B
24.04.15	Catania - Ternana	2:0

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