Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 38

Date: 26 April 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Italy	14:30	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia


	Ternana		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.83	3.3	3.6
	1.72	3.45	4.45
	1.78	3.29	4.59
	1.73	3.43	4.6	Watch
	1.7	3.1	4.6
	1.69	3.34	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.8)	3.32 ↓ (3.6)	4.44 ↑ (3.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
52.2%

Draw
27.4%

Pianese
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

51.1%

25.6%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53%

24.7%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pianese than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Ternana - Pianese Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Pianese will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ternana (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vitali T. (G) 20. Donati F. 2. Kurti A. 3. Pagliari M. 17. Kerrigan L. 30. Orellana M. 8. McJannet E. 16. Garetto M. 43. Ndrecka A. 32. Pettinari S. 18. Panico G.	12. Nespola M. (G) 56. Masetti L. 6. Amey W. 13. Ercolani L. 21. Tirelli M. 30. Proietto F. 27. Bertini M. 77. Martey C. 19. Sussi C. 11. Bellini L. 10. Ianesi S.
Substitutes
22. Aramu M. 15. Biancafarina F. 38. Bruti T. 19. Capuano M. 71. D'Alterio F. (G) 27. Ferrante A. 10. Leonardi S. 87. Martella B. 14. Meccariello B. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 6. Salvatore 5. Tripi F. 34. Turella M. 4. Vallocchia A.	5. Balde M. 33. Coccia L. 4. Colombo M. 9. Ongaro E. 7. Peli L. 57. Porciatti F. (G) 24. Reali A. (G) 14. Sodero A. 20. Vigiani L. 71. Xhani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Kerrigan L. ⚽,
16', Kerrigan L. ↓, Bruti T. ↑,
40', Bellini L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
54', McJannet E. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Ongaro E. ⚽,
65', McJannet E. ↓, Vallocchia A. ↑,
65', Panico G. ↓, Ferrante A. ↑,
65', Tirelli M. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
65', Ianesi S. ↓, Peli L. ↑,
79', 1 - 2, Ongaro E. ⚽,
80', Pettinari S. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
80', Orellana M. ↓, Aramu M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 3, Sodero A. ⚽,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))

Ternana is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)

Pianese is Qualified for Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Pianese may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Ternana is a strong favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
18	Pianese	11	1	6	4	6:10	-4	9

Last Results with these Odds

Ternana - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 51.1%, but this team recently wins 70% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.26	Bra - Ternana	1:2 ✺
12.04.26	Ternana - Perugia	2:2 ✺
08.04.26	Juventus U23 - Ternana	2:1 ✺
04.04.26	Guidonia Montecelio - Ternana	1:1 ✺
20.03.26	Ternana - Sambenedettese	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WTLTT
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
18.04.26	Pianese - Juventus U23	0:0 ✺
11.04.26	Gubbio - Pianese	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Pianese - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Forlì - Pianese	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Pianese - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0
23.04.25	Ternana - Pianese	2:0
07.12.24	Pianese - Ternana	1:3

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