Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 36

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 255


	Gubbio		Pianese

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.15	2.92	3.5	Watch
	2.43	3	3.66
	2.12	2.91	3.69	Watch
	2.3	2.63	3.1
	2.31	2.58	3.56	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↑ (2.25)	2.81 ↓ (2.82)	3.5 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 1.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
40.8%

Draw
32.9%

Pianese
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

32.6%

26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.2%

32.8%

26.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Pianese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.4%)

The ML Model estimate for Pianese aligns with the current prediction.

Gubbio - Pianese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Krapikas T. (G) 17. Fazzi N. 5. Di Bitonto A. 23. Bruscagin M. 27. Podda L. 8. Rosaia G. (C) 21. Carraro F. 40. Costa G. 29. Murru N. 11. Mastropietro F. 19. La Mantia A.	1. Filippis E. (G) 13. Ercolani L. 15. Gorelli M. 6. Amey W. 19. Sussi C. 8. Simeoni L. (C) 30. Proietto F. 77. Martey C. 7. Peli L. 10. Ianesi S. 11. Bellini L.
Substitutes
45. Bacalini L. 1. Bagnolini N. (G) 78. Conti V. 82. Djankpata H. 22. Galli T. (G) 73. Ghirardello T. 44. Hraiech S. 15. Signorini A. 3. Tentardini A. 6. Varone I. 34. Zallu F.	5. Balde M. 27. Bertini M. 4. Colombo M. 29. Fabrizi L. 56. Masetti L. 12. Nespola M. (G) 9. Ongaro E. 24. Reali A. (G) 14. Sodero A. 21. Tirelli M. 71. Xhani K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Ianesi S. ⚽,
29', Podda L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', Podda L. ↓, Zallu F. ↑,
54', Rosaia G. ↓, Ghirardello T. ↑,
64', Peli L. ↓, Fabrizi L. ↑,
64', Ianesi S. ↓, Sodero A. ↑,
64', Carraro F. 🟨,
66', 1 - 1, Bruscagin M. ⚽,
76', Proietto F. ↓, Colombo M. ↑,
79', Fabrizi L. 🟨,
80', Mastropietro F. 🟨,
82', Simeoni L. 🟨,
83', Mastropietro F. ↓, Hraiech S. ↑,
86', Martey C. ↓, Tirelli M. ↑,
86', Bellini L. ↓, Ongaro E. ↑,
88', Costa G. ↓, Djankpata H. ↑,
90', Ghirardello T. 🟨,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals))

Recent form of Gubbio has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Pianese has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gubbio may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home match between the teams, Gubbio won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
15	Pianese	9	1	4	4	6:10	-4	7
17	Gubbio	9	2	1	6	10:18	-8	7

Last Results with these Odds

Pianese - the odds 3.47 are the expected chance of winning is 26.51%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
03.04.26	Livorno - Gubbio	3:0 ✺
29.03.26	Gubbio - Ravenna	0:2 ✺
21.03.26	Juventus U23 - Gubbio	2:2 ✺
15.03.26	Gubbio - Ascoli	1:3 ✺
08.03.26	Ternana - Gubbio	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LLTLW
- US Pianese ASD
Italian Serie C Group B
04.04.26	Pianese - Campobasso	0:2 ✺
29.03.26	Forlì - Pianese	0:0 ✺
21.03.26	Pianese - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
08.03.26	Pianese - Pineto	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Ravenna - Pianese	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
06.12.25	Pianese - Gubbio	1:0
07.03.25	Gubbio - Pianese	1:0
25.10.24	Pianese - Gubbio	3:1
Italian Serie D - Group E
31.01.16	Pianese - Gubbio	0:1

Gubbio - Pianese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide