Match Info

Serie C - Promotion - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 28 May 2025, Wednesday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio
World	FIFA+


	Ternana		Vicenza Virtus

	1	X	2
	2.6	2.75	2.7
	2.7	2.85	2.8
	2.83	2.76	3
	2.85	2.75	2.85
	2.62	2.9	2.7
	2.71	2.84	2.78	Watch
	2.7	2.85	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.72 ↑ (2.58)	2.81 ↓ (2.98)	2.8 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
34.1%

Draw
32.9%

Vicenza Virtus
33%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.6%

30.8%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.4%

32.3%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Vicenza Virtus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vicenza Virtus than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
16.7%	83.3%	0%

Ternana - Vicenza Virtus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Vannucchi G. (G) 20. Donati F. 19. Capuano M. 87. Martella B. 15. Casasola T. 17. Aloi S. 4. Vallocchia A. 3. Tito F. 21. Curcio A. 10. Cicerelli E. 9. Ferrante A.	98. Confente A. (G) 14. Cuomo G. 6. Leverbe M. 23. Laezza G. 26. De Col F. 4. Carraro M. 10. Ronaldo 29. Zonta L. 32. Costa F. 9. Ferrari F. 7. Rauti N.
Substitutes
56. Bellavigna M. 44. Brignola E. 72. Ciammaglichella A. 71. Cianci P. 5. Corradini G. 30. Damiani S. 99. Donnarumma A. 2. Fazzi N. 13. Maestrelli A. 7. Millico V. 18. Montenegro L. 70. Romeo F. 14. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	13. Beghetto A. 20. Capone C. 8. Della L. S. 99. Della Morte M. 76. Fantoni N. 12. Gallo E. (G) 21. Garnero M. 1. Massolo S. (G) 90. Morra C. 5. Rossi F. 73. Sandon T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Curcio A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Ronaldo ↓, Della Morte M. ↑,
57', 2 - 0, Aloi S. ⚽,
61', 2 - 1, Laezza G. ⚽,
65', Ferrante A. ↓, Cianci P. ↑,
65', Aloi S. ↓, Corradini G. ↑,
66', Cuomo G. ↓, Sandon T. ↑,
66', Curcio A. ↓, Ciammaglichella A. ↑,
66', Laezza G. ↓, Morra C. ↑,
67', 3 - 1, Cianci P. ⚽,
76', Zonta L. ↓, Della L. S. ↑,
77', Carraro M. ↓, Rossi F. ↑,
84', Sandon T. 🟨,
90+2', Cicerelli E. ↓, Fazzi N. ↑,
90+3', Casasola T. ↓, Maestrelli A. ↑,
90+4', Costa F. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg result: 0-0. 2nd leg.

Ternana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Vicenza Virtus is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:6. (average 1.4:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group A
25.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Ternana - Giana Erminio	2:0 ✺
18.05.25	Giana Erminio - Ternana	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
27.04.25	Virtus Entella - Ternana	0:0 ✺
23.04.25	Ternana - Pianese	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 TWLTW
- Vicenza Virtus
Italian Serie C Group A
25.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	0:0 ✺
21.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Crotone	1:0 ✺
18.05.25	Crotone - Vicenza Virtus	1:2 ✺
25.04.25	Trento - Vicenza Virtus	3:1 ✺
18.04.25	Vicenza Virtus - Triestina	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group A
25.05.25	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	0:0
Italian Serie B
06.03.22	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	3:1
23.10.21	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	5:0
Italian Serie C Group B
31.03.19	Vicenza Virtus - Ternana	1:1
01.12.18	Ternana - Vicenza Virtus	0:2

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